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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(203401) St. Etienne at (203402) Valenciennes

Event:
(203401) St. Etienne at (203402) Valenciennes
Sport/League:
FL1
Date/Time:
March 30, 2024 10AM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
156
Play:
2% – REGULATION St Etienne win & BTTS - NO +156
Result:
Win
Analysis

Valenciennes vs St Etienne
French Ligue 2, Saturday, 12pm ET

Play: St Etienne win & BTTS - NO 
Odds at Time of Release: +156
Line Parameter: Playable to +140

Valenciennes are dead last in the Ligue 2 with 17 points (W2 D11 L16), they have the worst offense in the league with 17 goals in 29 matches, the 2nd worst defense with 40 conceded goals and the worst goal difference with -23. They are sitting 16 points below the relegation zone with 9 more matches to finish the season, so they don't really have that many chances to save themselves. But what they can do is be competitive in the Cup, as they have a crucial semi-final coming up on Tuesday, where they will be hosted by Lyon. 

Valenciennes will surely rotate an already struggling squad in order to have their best players available for the upcoming Cup match on Tuesday. They are hosting St Etienne, who are one of the best teams in the Ligue 2 this season, currently sitting 3rd with 48 points, 2 points behind Angers and the 2nd spot that grants automatic promotion to the Ligue 1. 

The 3rd spot that they are currently sitting at leads to promotion playoffs, and St Etienne are tied on points with the 4th Laval, so they really don't have room for error here. They have the best defense in the Ligue 2 with 23 conceded goals in 29 matches, they have kept the most clean sheets with 15 in 29 matches and they play against the league's worst offense, so we might easily see Valenciennes not scoring here. Valenciennes Under 0.5 Goal is +115 at Draftkings and definitely worth a shot. After all, Valenciennes have failed to score the most times in the Ligue 2 (17 times in 29 matches). 

Valenciennes have failed to score in 4 of L/5 matches, while St Etienne kept clean sheets in 5 of L/6 matches. Valenciennes have lost 7 times at home, and (each of the last) 5 losses came to nil. St Etienne have won 8 times on the road, and (each of the last) 7 wins came to nil.

Taking 2u on a Same Game Parlay with St Etienne win & BTTS - NO (+156), this is the exact same bet as St Etienne win to nil but with better odds. 
 

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