Newcastle vs Manchester United Expert Prediction and Picks | Premier League Betting April 2
Newcastle vs Manchester United Betting Preview
Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman gives his prediction and picks for this Newcastle vs Manchester United Premier League match before start time at 11:30am ET Sunday, coming from St. James’ Park in Tyne, England. Both Newcastle and Manchester United sit in the top five of the Premier League standings.
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Newcastle vs Manchester United Betting Odds
| Sunday, April 1 | Premier League Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Manchester United: | +200 |
| Newcastle: | +140 |
| Draw: | +245 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 11:30am ET / 8:30am PT |
Newcastle vs Manchester United Betting Analysis
You would be hard pressed to find a team that was playing better than Manchester United before the International break.
Sure, you can point out their surprising 7-0 loss to Liverpool at the beginning of March, but aside from that, the team was winning everything. They won the EFL Cup.
They moved into the semifinals of the FA Cup. They beat two La Liga sides, Barcelona and Betis to reach the quarterfinals of the Europa League, and are the favorites to win it.
Plus, they played their way into the Top-4 of the EPL. Their record since the World Cup break was 19-4-2.
Newcastle Aims For Bounceback
On the flip side, the break was probably a necessary reset for this team as they were the most overworked team in Europe playing those 25 matches in a three-month span. They literally played every 3-4 days during that time.
Newcastle was one of the surprises in the EPL and were in the Top-4 most of the season, but they stumbled some before the international break with just two wins in their final seven matches in all competitions.
If we look at just their league results, they had just three wins in their last ten matches. They had a particularly rough stretch at the end of February and beginning of March playing Liverpool, this United side in the EFL Cup Final, and then City in three straight matches, losing by the same 0-2 scoreline in each.
Low Scoring Match Ahead?
That’s where I’m going to look for this match. Aside from their 3-3 thriller against City in their third game of the season back in August, they have played the Top-6 sides in mostly all low-scoring games. In addition to the run I just mentioned, some other results include:
0-0 at Arsenal
1-0 vs Chelsea
0-0 at United
Newcastle has given up the fewest goals in the league, 19, on the 3rd fewest xGA per 90 minutes at just 1.04. Thus, they have a 9-17 O-U record in league play, and I expect this first game back from the international break, to play out in that fashion.
Newcastle vs Manchester United Expert Prediction
This is a huge possible six-point swing for the Top-4 and with so much on the line, I think we see both teams play patiently and cautiously with a “not to lose” mentality more than a “to win” mind set.
With that in mind, I like both the Under and grabbing the head start on United.
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals -115 & Manchester United +0.25 -130
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.
Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.
Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.
Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.
Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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