Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks Expert Predictions and Picks February 15

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks Betting Preview

This Maple Leafs and Blackhawks will play twice in a five day span with WagerTalk NHL handicapper Kevin Dolan breaking down this Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks cross conference clash from a betting perspective providing his predictions before 7:00pm ET.

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks Betting Odds

Wednesday, February 14	NHL Betting Notes
Moneyline:	Toronto Maple Leafs -500 vs Chicago Blackhawks +400
Puckline:	Maple Leafs -1.5 (-190) / Blackhawks +1.5 (+160)
Total:	6.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)
Arena:	Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON (Odds Above From DraftKings)
Game Time:	7:00pm ET / 4:00pm PT

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks Betting Analysis

The Toronto Maple Leafs will enter Wednesday night’s game at home against the Chicago Blackhawks as one of the biggest mid-season favorites ever, with lines currently priced up as high as -500 at some sportsbooks.

That line’s not entirely without merit either as Chicago have gone just 6-14-2 away from home this year, and have lost four of their last five road games by an average scoring margin of 3.5 goals per game as well, so it’s somewhat understandable why this line’s been priced as high as it has been.

This will be the first of two scheduled meetings between the two teams this season before they come back and serve up game two on Sunday, but it’s been a series traditionally dominated by the Blackhawks, with Chicago winning 16 of the last 23 meetings between the two sides over recent years.

It’s Been A Rough Season For Chicago

Sitting rock-bottom of the Western Conference with just 37 points and a -65 goal differential, it’s fair to say the 2022-23 season hasn’t exactly turned out as well as the Blackhawks would have liked.

In terms of data, it’s been offensively where Chicago has struggled most this season, with the Blackhawks ranking last in the league in offensive xG, last in scoring chances created, and last in offensive scoring as well, generating just 2.40 GPG on average this year.

Toronto’s Solid Record Against Western Conference Opposition

Despite their poor head-to-head record over recent seasons against the Chicago Blackhawks, the Toronto Maple Leafs have actually enjoyed a ton of success when facing teams from the Western Conference in general, winning 11 of the last 14 times in which that situation has occurred.

That record has been helped by an offensive power play production from the Leafs of 25.44% this season, top four in the league overall.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks Expert Prediction

It’s fair to say that it would be a major shock if Chicago were able to secure a victory in this game as metrically at least, Toronto are the far superior team ahead of this game.

That said, we simply can’t lay anywhere near this type of number on the Leafs so instead we’re going to pivot and look toward the Last Goal (Excl OT) prop which is going off at +200 on Chicago to get the final goal in this game.

Similar to what we saw in Monday night’s game between the LA Kings and Buffalo Sabres where one team completely dominates the action, it often leaves the door open for the opposing team to get a couple of consolation goals at the end, and at this kind of +money price on Wednesday, we like the value on Chicago to be that team in this one.

Take the ‘Last Goal (Excl OT)’ prop on Chicago to score last at +200 in their matchup against the Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday.

Prediction: Last Goal (Excl OT) – Chicago Blackhawks (+200)


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Puck Time | NHL Betting Preview February 15

Join Carmine Bianco, Andrew McInnis and The Prez for Wednesday’s Puck Time as our panel of professional hockey handicappers break down this weekend’s NHL betting card. Join the Puck Time crew every week day at 11am ET / 8am PT as we discuss the NHL betting slate from a variety of handicapping angles.

https://youtube.com/live/wFwCChX_2dY

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WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, pucklines, totals and betting percentages for all of Wednesday’s NHL action, including this Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.

Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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