Dave Cokin's NFL Week 6 Betting Notes

NFL Week 6 Betting Preview

WagerTalk handicapper Dave Cokin offers analysis on games that just missed his NFL Week 6 betting card. Each week on Twitter, Dave shares the games that fell just outside his comfort zone. Here, he expands upon those games with reasons why he was drawn in a particular direction, and why ultimately he decided to pass.

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NFL Week 6 Betting Leans

Again, just to reiterate: As of Friday afternoon, these are games that I have not bet. I am simply sharing some of my notes that may, perhaps, assist in your handicapping as you break down the NFL Week 6 card.

Minnesota -2.5 at Carolina – Minnesota is the better team and looked very playable at +1, but that number is long gone and I am unwilling to lay -2 (or perhaps more) as the line continues to move closer to kickoff.

Detroit +3 vs Cincinnati – I strongly considered Detroit here as they’re playing better than that 0-5 record indicates. But the inability of the Lions to close a game made it a bit too tough for me to bet them here.

Las Vegas +4 at Denver – It’s tempting to take what is now a seemingly generous +4 with a team that might have a point to prove following the Gruden fiasco. But my preference here was the total rather than the side.

Pittsburgh -5 vs Seattle – Geno Smith looked good in relief last week, but there’s nothing to suggest that continues against a very tough Pittsburgh defense. The line just a shade too high for investment purposes, in my opinion.

Buffalo -5 at Tennessee – There’s no question about the who’s the superior team, that’s the Bills. But it’s also a prime letdown spot for Buffalo and I can’t lay this many with the Bills on Monday night.

Here’s the free play vid. Good number long gone on the college selection, but the NFL comp play is at a widely available current line. pic.twitter.com/g1wm1NOnyK

— Dave Cokin (@davecokin) October 14, 2021

NFL Week 6 Historical Trends from The GoldSheet

The under is 11-3 in Seattle’s last 14 games.
Miami is 12-6 against the spread in the Dolphins’ last 18 road games.
The Giants are 6-18 against the spread in their last 24 home games.
The under is 9-3 in Cincinnati’s last 12 games.
Minnesota is 2-10 against the spread in the Vikings’ last 12 games.
The over is 13-6 in Minnesota’s last 19 games.
The LA Chargers are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games.
The over is 7-3 in Tampa Bay’s last ten road games.
Green Bay has won and covered the spread in the Packers’ last four meetings with the Bears.
The under is 26-16 in Pittsburgh’s last 42 games.
The Giants’ last six home games have all stayed under the total.
Indianapolis is 1-5 against the spread in the Colts’ last six games as a home favorite.
The under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the Broncos and Raiders.
Kansas City is 3-13 against the spread in the Chiefs’ last 16 games.
Arizona is 13-5-1 against the spread in the Cardinals’ last 19 road games.
Las Vegas has covered the spread in six of the Raiders’ last seven meetings with Denver.
Seattle is 2-6 against the spread in the Seahawks’ last eight road games.
The over is 9-2 in Buffalo’s last 11 road games.
Tennessee is 7-3 against the spread in the Titans’ last ten games as an underdog

Bet On It: NFL Week 6 Edition

The barking dogs, sandwiches, teasers, and steam plays are back! Join Kelly, Marco, Gianni and Ralph every Wednesday for Bet On It as we discuss the NFL Week 6 slate from a variety of betting angles.

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