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Geico 500 Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds April 23

NASCAR drivers prep for Goodyear 400

Geico 500 Betting Preview

WagerTalk NASCAR handicapper Andy Lang offers his predictions and betting preview on the Geico 500 with drivers starting their engines at 3:00pm ET from Talladega Superspeedway. Andy discusses the point leaders and breaks down betting angles by Toyota, Chevrolet and Ford

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Geico 500 NASCAR Betting Notes
When: April 23
Where: Talladega Superspeedway in Lincoln, AL
Defending Champ: Ross Chastain
Current Favorite: Joey Logano (+1000 at DraftKings)
TV: FOX

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Geico 500 Betting Analysis

The excitement of restrictor plate racing returns to Talledega and Qualifying will be at 10:30 ET on Saturday so we should get to see which team/manufacturers look good.

From a better perspective, these races are really tough as you can be winning a bet all race and then your guy gets caught up in a 12 car pile up and your bet is toast, but it can work the other way around. Let’s take a look at the top 5 points leaders:

1.  Christoper Bell

2.  Ross Chastain

3.  Kevin Harvick

4.  Kyle Larson

5.  Martin Truex

Will Geico 500 Be Follow The Leader?

Logano and Blaney have looked great at the other restrictor plate tracks (Daytona and Atlanta) this year and I don’t really see a reason why they wouldn’t bee solid again if they avoid the big one.

Christopher Bell is another driver with great finishes this year at those two tracks so if you’re looking at who’s good and lucky on these tracks this year, I would look to them.

If you’re looking at who’s snake bitten on these tracks this year, look no further than William Byron who has finished 34th and 32nd at these tracks this year.

One thing that has been happening is that there are long stretches of green flag racing where they just follow the leader which doesn’t make for a great race for a majority of the event, but it does set up well for the end of the race excitementThere were 8 cautions at Daytona and only 5 at Atlanta so maybe we can get a good price on the number of cautions under 8.5 or 9.5.

Geico 500 Predictions

The glaring thing about these tracks is that Toyota has still not won in these cars at a restrictor plate race, it’s been a Ford or Chevy in 2022 and 2023 winning.

Chevy is +125 and Ford is +140 to win, so I would recommend betting a little bit on both and bringing in a bit of profit if Toyota doesn’t win again.

At Daytona this year, only one Toyota finished in the top 10, and at Atlanta only four Toyotas finished in the top 18.

Prediction: Chevrolet (+125) or Ford (+140) Wins Geico 500

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