NASCAR Picks, Predictions and Odds

NASCAR Wurth 400 2026 Betting Preview

Wurth 400 picks and predictions from WagerTalk NASCAR handicapper Andy Lang are below as drivers start their engines on May 3, 2026 for the big race being held at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth! Andy gives his Wurth 400 picks and predictions before the race starts up at 2:30 pm ET!

Wurth 400 2026 Betting Odds

Sunday, Mary 3	Wurth 400 Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Date:	May 3, 2025
Time:	2:30pm ET / 11:30am PT
Location:	Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth
Favorite to Win:	Denny Hamlin (+500)
TV:	FS1

Wurth 400 Track: Texas Motor Speedway

The Würth 400 at Texas Motor Speedway is run on a 1.5-mile quad-oval that’s known for its speed but also its tricky, uneven layout.

Since the 2017 reconfiguration, Turns 1 and 2 are flatter and tighter at 20 degrees of banking, while Turns 3 and 4 remain steeper at 24 degrees, forcing teams into a difficult setup compromise.

The surface is aging and can be slick, especially in the daytime, making handling and tire management a major factor.

Texas is a track where clean air and track position matter a lot, but mistakes are common because of how tough it is to get both ends of the track right.

Drivers who can adapt and stay disciplined tend to rise to the top, while others struggle with balance throughout a run.

In recent years, drivers like William Byron, Kyle Larson, and Denny Hamlin have shown speed here, capitalizing on strong intermediate-track setups.

The Würth 400 often turns into a strategy race with big swings in track position, late cautions, and unpredictable finishes.

Wurth 400 Head-to-Head Pick

Chase Elliott (-135) over Joey Logano

This matchup is all about track type, and the edge clearly goes to Elliott. On intermediate “big tracks” this season, Logano has struggled badly—30th at Kansas, 33rd at Darlington, and just 15th at Las Vegas. His best results have come on short tracks and superspeedways, not this setup.

Elliott, meanwhile, has been far more consistent on these tracks, finishing 8th, 15th, and 2nd in those same races. That’s a clear performance gap in comparable conditions.

Track fit matters in NASCAR matchups, and right now Elliott is simply running better on this type of track.

With stronger form, better results on intermediates, and a clear edge in consistency, Elliott is the right side in this head-to-head.

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