UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Kane Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds December 13, 2025

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for December 13, 2025 with the main event headlined by Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape in a flyweight fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV.

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Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, December 11	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Brandon Royval +230 vs Manel Kape -310
Rounds:	3.5 (Over -130 / Under +102)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT
Arena:	UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV
TV:	ESPN+

Undercard UFC Fight Night Predictions

Jamey-Lyn Horth +124 vs Tereza Bleda -158 

Bleda is young at just 24, but she hasn’t fought in over two years. She’s a wrestler and grappler  with very poor striking. Horth is the better striker, can wrestle a bit, and appears faster in her scrambles and offensive bursts.

I think Horth can stuff takedowns, reverse positions, and  outwork Bleda. Horth by decision at plus money is the pick.

Allen Frye +144 vs Guilherme Pat -186 

Weird matchup here, but I lean Pat. Both fighters are raw with real power, though Pat appears to be the better athlete with stronger cardio.

This fight likely doesn’t go the distance, so wait for  props—Pat by finish is where I’d look.

Luana Santos -160 vs Melissa Croden +124 

Both women won their last fight, and both wins were over the same opponent. Each fighter is solid on the ground, and Croden’s striking looked improved in her UFC debut.

Santos, however, seems more polished overall and noticeably quicker. Croden won’t be able to physically overwhelm her like usual. Close fight, but Santos gets the nod.

Sean Sharaf +215 vs Steven Asplund -290 

Sharaf looked awful in his debut, losing to Junior Tafa—a terrible look. His cardio fell apart after round one, he’s inexperienced, and there’s no visible upside.

Asplund had a strong win on Contender Series, showing good IQ and real power. This fight should not go the distance. Take the unders and Asplund inside the distance.

King Green -218 vs Lance Gibson +180 

Short-notice fight here, and Gibson hasn’t fought in a year. He comes from a wrestling  background, but he hasn’t beaten anyone notable, and he lost to the only strong opponent he faced in Bellator. His striking isn’t good, giving Green a major advantage on the feet. 

The concern is Green’s durability — he’s aging and has been finished in the first round in his last two fights.

His takedown defense has never been reliable, but Gibson would need to have  improved significantly to consistently wrestle Green to victory. It’s not a fight worth betting for me, but stylistically and based on résumé, Green is the pick.

Neil Magny +280 vs Yaroslav Amosov -390 

Magny continues to be a tough gatekeeper and still has plenty left. He’s won two straight, cardio looks strong, and his submission game remains solid.

Amosov comes in with hype, but most of his résumé is from Bellator and smaller organizations. Fighters entering UFC in their 30s are always a concern—why now?

Magny’s experience and versatility make this competitive. Slight lean to Magny, but not a confident pick.

Amanda Lemos +134 vs Gillian Robertson -172 

Lemos brings the striking edge, but Robertson has been on fire, winning 7 of her last 8. 

Robertson’s ground control and forward pressure continue to improve. Lemos was taken down  and held early in her last fight against Suarez but rallied late.

Lemos has takedowns, but the ground game isn’t her strength. Close fight, but Robertson should win key moments on the mat. Robertson is the pick.

Joanderson Brito -325 vs Isaac Thomson +260 

Thomson just won a close split against an aggressive wrestler in October, he steps in short notice, and there’s a lot to like about him.

Young, athletic, and plenty of cardio, he should have a decent height and reach advantage, but Brito’s aggression and violence is a big step up for Thomson.

Brito makes bad decisions, and it cost him big against Sabatini, if he makes those  same mistakes (like throwing body kicks against a wrestler who can take him down when he throws those kicks), Thomson has a path to victory.

I think this fight is closer than the odds  suggest, but Brito was training for a fight, he needs a win to snap the skid, his speed and power should be too much. Brito the pick, but way too much juice to lay.

Kennedy Nzechukwu -125 vs Marcus Buchecha +105 

Buchecha made his UFC debut and looked bad. He’s a grappler/wrestler, but he couldn’t take Martin Buday down and gassed quickly. His striking is extremely limited.

He has one path: get Kennedy down. Kennedy has shown both submission ability and knockout power, but he makes mistakes too.

If Buchecha can’t get takedowns, Kennedy’s power at heavyweight should end this. Kennedy is the pick.

Morgan Cherriere -115 vs Melquizael Costa -105 

Charriere has historically been too low volume, but he improved last fight—though Nate  Landwehr forces high pace on anyone.

Charriere showed good leg kicks and some wrestling, though he doesn’t do much with takedowns. Costa is more well-rounded: quick kicks, clean boxing, good movement, and he’s on a four-fight win streak.

I trust Costa’s aggression more. Charriere can lose rounds from inactivity. Costa in a close one.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk -205 vs Cesar Almeida +175 

Almeida will be a trendy underdog, which is always a little scary, but the line is still off. Cezary has real power—four straight first-round finishes—and though he isn’t a wrestler, Almeida comes from a kickboxing background and will strike as well.

Cezary trains with Fighting Nerds, an excellent camp. I like the under here: both guys throw heat, and Almeida’s chin is too  exposed. Cezary should win, but the line should be closer to pick’em.

Kevin Vallejos -285 vs Giga Chikadze +245 

Giga is now 37 and slowing noticeably. He’s dropped 3 of his last 4, and although the kicking technique remains, the explosiveness is fading.

Vallejos is shorter and stockier but has real  power. He just went three rounds in a competitive fight, which was good to see. He can mix in  takedowns and pressure Giga. Vallejos by decision is the pick.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Manel Kape -255 vs Brandon Royval +215

Kape is a dynamic striker with elite explosiveness. His only recent loss was to wrestler Muhammad Mokaev, and Royval won’t wrestle like that.

Royval is long and awkward with his  striking, but he was out-struck by Josh Van and hurt late. His two recent wins were split  decisions—he’s right on the edge competitively. Kape has the clear striking edge and should win. Kape is the pick.

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