UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse Picks, Predictions and Odds September 5, 2026

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC Fight Night picks and predictions come from WagerTalk UFC handicapper Andy Lang for September 5, 2026 with the main event headlined by Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse in a lightweight fight. The main card starts up at 3:00pm ET from Accor Arena in Paris, France.

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Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, September 5	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse
Rounds:	N/A
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 6:00am ET / 3:00am PT
Arena:	Accor Arena in Paris, France
TV:	Paramount+

UFC Fight Night Undercard Predictions

Fares Ziam (-155) vs. Axel Sola (+135)

This is a classic clash of styles. Fares Ziam will likely look to initiate the clinch, slow the fight down and mix in his wrestling, while Axel Sola should prefer to keep the fight standing and turn it into a striking match.

I like Sola as the underdog. He has shown solid takedown defense, can strike with good volume and should be capable of producing the bigger moments that swing close rounds. Ziam has a tendency to get involved in slow, uneventful fights, and that could hurt him on the scorecards against the more active fighter.

At +135, Sola is the pick. I think his activity and striking volume can be enough to win a decision.

Michael Page (-168) vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (+140)

This should look like a classic Michael Page fight. Page will stand at range, make himself difficult to hit and use his jab and kicks to score points without taking unnecessary risks.

Nursulton Ruziboev has the better ground game, but actually getting his hands on Page is the problem. Page’s movement and ability to control distance make it incredibly difficult for opponents to consistently close the gap.

Page fights can be boring, but they’re also predictable because of his unique style. I expect Page to point-fight from distance and win a decision.

Losene Keita (-341) vs. Muhammad Naimov (+279)

Losene Keita is primarily a striker and lost a close split decision in his UFC debut. He should be the faster and more fluid fighter on the feet in this matchup.

Muhammad Naimov can make fights ugly. He can clinch, work inside and turn a clean striking match into more of a grind. The problem is that he was pieced up and finished by a good striker in his last fight, and Keita presents many of those same problems.

The -341 price is steep, but Keita is still the right side. His speed and striking should be too much for Naimov.

Morgan Charriere (+170) vs. Felipe Lima (-191)

Felipe Lima doesn’t fight particularly often, but when he does, he’s good. He’s a well-rounded fighter who can land punches and kicks, mix in takedowns and do quality work on the ground. He’s not elite in any single area, which may ultimately prevent him from becoming a title contender, but he doesn’t have many glaring weaknesses either.

Morgan Charriere continues to be a mystery to me. He has the athleticism and physical tools to be great, but he loses fights that it seems like he should win, and his UFC victories have come against bad competition. I’ve also had terrible results trying to handicap Charriere fights, so I’m staying away from betting this one.

Lima is the pick in a close decision, with a couple of takedowns potentially being the difference.

Punahele Soriano (+189) vs. Daniil Donchenko (-219)

Daniil Donchenko continues to leave me underwhelmed. He’s won all three of his UFC fights, but the competition hasn’t been particularly impressive. He has powerful striking, but his offense can be slow, his cardio is questionable, and if he isn’t landing the big knockout shot, I’m not sure what his fallback option is.

Punahele Soriano has put together several wins in a row and gives Donchenko some different problems. Soriano can land on the feet, but he can also clinch and hold Donchenko against the fence. If this reaches the third round, I expect Soriano to be the fresher fighter. Soriano is the underdog pick at +189.

Kurtis Campbell (-341) vs. Trevor Peek (+279)

Kurtis Campbell loves to start fast. He’ll look for takedowns and throw big shots early, but as we predicted in his UFC debut, that aggressive style can drain his gas tank quickly and leave him vulnerable to being finished.

Trevor Peek isn’t a good wrestler, so the early portion of this matchup could be ugly for him. His best attribute is his toughness, and if he can survive Campbell’s early offense, the fight could completely change as Campbell tires. We also haven’t seen Peek in two years, which adds another level of unpredictability.

Campbell should be able to get Peek down early, but he may need to finish him while he’s fresh. I’ll take Peek at +279 to survive the early trouble and take over as Campbell fades, but I’m nervous about this one.

Luis Felipe Dias (+105) vs. Matthieu Duclos (-120)

Luis Felipe Dias is a monster physically. He’s big and powerful, although he’s also stiff and doesn’t have great speed.

Matthieu Duclos has a good jab, but I’m not sold on the quality of competition he’s faced. When he stepped onto Contender Series, he was knocked out by Tulio, and that performance makes me question his ceiling.

I expect this to primarily be a striking match without much wrestling. In that type of fight, I’ll take Dias at +105 to have the more damaging shots and get the win.

Nora Cornolle (-125) vs. Klaudia Sygula (+109)

I don’t see it with Nora Cornolle. Her wins haven’t been particularly convincing, her cardio can become an issue, she has trouble stopping wrestling and I don’t think her striking is especially good.

Klaudia Sygula is the significantly better striker and has the ability to do real damage on the feet. Her biggest responsibility is simply keeping the fight standing.

If Sygula can consistently defend the takedowns, I think the striking difference becomes obvious. Sygula at +109 is the pick to outstrike Cornolle and get the win.

Mario Pinto (-270) vs. Ryan Spann (+257)

I love Mario Pinto in this matchup. He has powerful striking, and in his last fight he showed that he can wrestle as well, giving him a much more complete game than just being a dangerous puncher.

Ryan Spann has won two straight, but those victories came against opponents who simply couldn’t strike with him. Pinto won’t have that problem. He should be able to land early and often, and Spann has a long history of questionable cardio.

Outside of Spann landing a random bomb early, I don’t see many paths to victory for him. Pinto is one of my easiest picks on the card.

Oumar Sy (-185) vs. Modestas Bukauskas (+158)

Oumar Sy has been disappointing in the UFC, losing two of his last three, but this looks like a favorable matchup for him. Modestas Bukauskas has slowed down considerably. He’s struggling to land punches, doesn’t have much speed anymore and isn’t the physical fighter he once was.

Sy should have a significant physical advantage and shouldn’t have much trouble getting into the clinch and using his wrestling. Both fighters have questionable cardio, but Sy should have the advantage while they’re fresh.

I also don’t see Bukauskas carrying enough of a striking threat to make Sy hesitant about closing distance. Sy should be able to clinch, wrestle and control his way to the win.

Fabia Sintes (+128) vs. Michael Aljarouj (-155)

This matchup has a very clear dynamic. Fabia Sintes wants to get the fight to the ground, while Michael Aljarouj wants absolutely nothing to do with that. Aljarouj is a dangerous striker with legitimate knockout power, while Sintes’ best chance of finishing comes through her ground game.

Because both fighters are considerably more dangerous in their preferred areas, I like this fight not to go the distance. Aljarouj can get the knockout if it stays standing, while Sintes can potentially finish if she gets him down.

As far as picking a winner, this is close enough that I want the plus money. Sintes at +128 is the side. If she can secure an early takedown and force Aljarouj to work, she can wear him down and become even more effective in the later rounds.

Delphine Benouaich (-161) vs. Sofia Montenegro (+135)

Sofia Montenegro lost on Contender Series in a brutal striking battle, but there were positives to take from the performance. She did plenty of damage herself, absorbed a ton of punishment and continued fighting hard, showing both cardio and heart.

Delphine Benouaich doesn’t look as dynamic on the feet, but she has another dimension that Montenegro has to deal with. Benouaich can wrestle and has a ground game, and I think that’s ultimately the difference in a competitive matchup.

Montenegro can absolutely have success when they’re exchanging strikes, but Benouaich is the pick to use her takedowns and grappling to win the fight.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Dan Hooker (+372) vs Saladhine Parnasse (-526)

Dan Hooker looks like he’s starting to slow down. He’s lost two straight against elite competition, but the bigger concern is that he wasn’t particularly competitive in either fight. Hooker has always been willing to absorb punishment, but lately he hasn’t been giving much back, and his ground game remains a major weakness.

Saladhine Parnasse has a ton of experience despite being only 28 years old. He’s a good striker, has a legitimate ground game and should be the more athletic fighter. The longer this fight goes, the more the advantages should favor Parnasse, especially with Hooker fading once he gets outside the first round.

Hooker is still tough enough to survive the opening five minutes, but Parnasse should take over and find the finish in the second or third round.

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