UFC 315: Volkanovski vs Lopes Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds May 10

UFC 315 Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC 315 picks and predictions for May 10 with the main event headlined by Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena in a Welterweight title fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from the Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada.

Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, WagerTalk TV is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.

WagerTalk also offers Free UFC Picks all year long! Also, at WagerTalk you can always find free MLB picks every day.

Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena: UFC 315 Main Event

Saturday, May 10	UFC 315 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Belal Muhammad -240 vs Jack Della Maddalena +195
Rounds:	4.5 Rounds (Over -200 / Under +155)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT
Arena:	Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada
TV:	PPV

Before You Read UFC 315 Predictions… Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks – including UFC 315 & More

UFC 315 Predictions

Bekzat Almakhan -185 vs Brad Katona +154 

It’s a Brad Katona fight so we’ll just play the over. He doesn’t have a lot of finishing  ability, but he is tough, durable, and skilled enough to not get finished himself, and we’ve made a lot of money taking his overs.

He’s gone to decision in 13 out of his last  14 fights, and his striking is ok as his volume is good, but the power really isn’t there, his  wrestling is ok as well, but again, he’s not finishing anyone.

Almakhan fought Umar  Nurmagomedov in his debut, and more than held his own despite the loss, and we can expect him to try and get this to the ground quick as he loves getting takedowns and getting the ground and pound damage going.

He’ll have success against Katona, I think he wins as his takedowns and ground game is relentless, but I would take him to win by decision to get a better price or just play the over.

Daniel Santos -110 vs Jeong Yeong Lee -110 

Lee is coming off one of the most insane 1 minute fights you’ll see as he got in a  firefight with Amil, and he paid the price getting knocked out.

The fight was so crazy  that Daniel Cormier was screaming like a girl as it got stopped…it’s worth going back  and watching.

Lee and Santos are very similar in their striking, and ground game as neither guy is great at one thing, but both are pretty well rounded. Both have gotten  takedowns in the past, both have shown their striking can last over 3 rounds, but Santos hasn’t fought in almost 2 years so I really don’t know what he’s going to look like here. 

It’s a pass on betting who wins, but I’ll take this fight to go the distance as both are  equal everywhere.

Modestas Bukauskas -112 vs Ion Cutelaba -108 

I’ll take a stab here on Cutelaba who has awful striking defense, but a good takedown and ground game and that’s where he’s going to have to win.

Bukauskas has decent striking, but it’s not amazing, and yet he still should find success as Cutelabla doesn’t  move his head, throws without protecting his chin, and is ripe to be hit.

In his last fight, we saw Aslan landing big shots on the feet, but as soon as Cutelaba got a clean  takedown, he easily got the submission, and I don’t think Bukauskas has a great ground game.

If Bukauskas can land his jabs early, he can have success, but he’ll have to stuff the takedowns to win, and he may only need to stuff a couple of them as Cutelaba’s gas  tank is pretty bad. That being said, I think Cutelaba can get it to the ground and get the win.

Navajo Stirling -278 vs Ivan Erslan +210 

Stirling was unimpressive on Contender Series to me, he’s raw, needs experience, and  polishing, but he has all the physical tools as he’s strong and powerful.

They had him  fight Tokkos in his debut, which was a layup for a debut, and while this is a little bit of a  step up, I don’t think Erslan is that good.

He gets tired easily, his striking is great and  it’s low volume, and his only chance in this one is to clinch, and try and get this on the  ground.

His striking is decent, but it’s not as good as Stirling’s so the longer this stays on the feet, the more Stirling is going to land his big strikes and wear down Erslan. As long as Stirling keeps getting guys at this caliber for his opponents, you have to take him to win.

Jasmine Jasudavicius -285 vs Jessica Andrade +230 

Too much recency bias in this line for me. Jasmine has won 4 in a row, against good  competition, but Andrade is by far the best fighter she’s faced so far.

Jasmine should  work for the takedown and ground control, and if she gets it, she’ll dominate for sure,  but if she doesn’t get it, Andrade can be a menace with her own offense.

Andrade just lost to Natalia Silva, no shame in that, but had beat Marina Rodriguez and Mackenzie Dern before that.

As long as Jasmine doesn’t get cute with her attack, and keeps it to  wrestling and getting takedowns, she should win, but at -285, it’s a steep price. Do I think Jasmine wins? Yes. Am I willing to pay this price? Not sure.

Mike Malott -230 vs Charles Radtke +190 

Radtke has fought 3 bums, and Carlos Prates in the UFC and he beat the 3 bums and lost to Prates so it’s a bit tough to get a great read on him. He can strike, and he can clinch, and he’ll get his chances to do damage as Malott leaves himself open to get hit. 

Malott is coming off a win against Giles, and it was obvious that Malott just wanted to go  3 rounds to test his cardio as that’s been his achilles heel.

He was pretty tentative  against Giles, but his kicks and body work looked good, but he sacrificed his aggression to conserve energy.

I think this fight is going to be really close, and Radtke has a good chance to pull the upset with his striking. Malott has submission wins on his resume,  but he hasn’t shown them his last 2 fights, I think Radtke is worth a sprinkle at this price.

Marc Andre Barriault -148 vs Bruno Silva +124 

Loser probably gets cut in this one. Barriault has been knocked out in the first round of his last 2 fights, with the last one being at the hands of Dustin Stoltzfus, which is only the 2nd KO win for Stoltzfus in his career as he’s a submission fighter.

So that’s a terrible look for Barriault. Silva might be worse though. This guy went the distance  against Alex Pereira, and has looked awful since then.

He’s lost 4 straight, and even  though they’ve gone the distance, he hasn’t really looked that competitive. His striking has been awful, he’s not aggressive, it’s really been a string of bad performances. 

Barriault’s chin is a gigantic concern, but I don’t think Silva will land the big one to knock him out. Barriault will win this with his volume and activity on the feet.

Bekzat Almakhan -180 vs Brad Katona +150 

It’s a Brad Katona fight so I’ll make this short and sweet. Fight goes the distance. Katona has gone the distance in 13 out of his last 14 fights as he is good, but not great  everywhere, and he’s tough and durable.

He doesn’t finish anyone, and he doesn’t get  finished. Almakhan will work his relentless takedowns and ground game, I think he  wins, but we just take the overs in every Katona fight.

Benoit Saint-Denis -1200 vs Kyle Prepolec +800

No writeup needed. Prepolec is stepping in short notice, and he is getting a nice payday to be a sacrificial lamb. Saint-Denis will win by however way he wants. Number is unplayable, but throw it in your parlays.

Jose Aldo -225 vs Aiemann Zahabi +185 

Zahabi comes in on a five-fight win streak, but the level of competition hasn’t been elite. Aldo, despite being 38, still moves well and showed in the Bautista fight that he can avoid damage and control distance — even in a loss that many thought he could’ve won.

Zahabi has decent power, but Aldo’s elite footwork and signature kicks should  neutralize that threat. Zahabi doesn’t have the wrestling to hold Aldo against the cage, which has been Aldo’s biggest weakness in recent years. Expect Aldo’s experience, striking IQ, and volume to carry him to a clear win.

Natalia Silva -218 vs Alexa Grasso +180 

Silva looks like a future UFC champion — elite speed, explosive striking, crisp combos, and rock-solid takedown defense. She completely outclassed Andrade in her last fight, staying composed and dominant even in clinch positions.

Grasso, meanwhile, looked flat in her last outing against Shevchenko: hesitant on the feet, no pop in her shots, and  easily controlled on the ground.

Unless Grasso shows drastic improvement, she’ll be outgunned here. This should stay standing, and Silva’s speed, variety, and aggression should overwhelm Grasso. Silva gets it done.

Manon Fiorot -148 vs Valentina Shevchenko +124 

Fiorot will be the bigger, longer, and stronger fighter — with clear advantages in reach  and power on the feet. If this stays standing, she has the edge in a pure striking match. But Shevchenko looked rejuvenated in her last fight, using her wrestling and top control  to dominate Alexa Grasso.

She’s still one of the most well-rounded fighters in the  division and has elite cardio and five-round experience.

If Valentina mixes in the takedowns and keeps Fiorot off balance, she can chip away and control the tempo. At plus money, Shevchenko’s championship pedigree and versatility make her a great value play here.

UFC 315 Main Event: Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena

Belal hasn’t lost since 2019, 10 wins and a no contest since his last defeat and he has  really developed into a problem that’s hard to solve.

He is reliable and we know what  we are going to get from him. There’s nothing particularly flashy but his fundamentals are excellent.

He rarely makes mistakes, has a great gas tank, mixes in all the grappling  and striking and has good defense. He also is likely to be pushing forward which will make striking harder for Maddalena who hasn’t looked great going backwards in his UFC career and has gas tank concerns.

His wrestling defense has also looked poor/ mediocre and I think over 5 rounds Belal is going to pick his shots and moments and wear him down.

**************************************************

Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?

• Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
• Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
• Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.

Make sure to bookmark all the above!