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Yankees vs Rangers Prediction and Betting Preview | Wed May 21

Paul Goldschmidt of the New York Yankees

Wednesday’s Yankees vs Rangers clash in the Bronx features a strong pitching matchup between a pair of veteran starters. The GoldSheet team shares its thoughts on Jacob deGrom’s return to The Big Apple.

Yankees vs Rangers Betting Preview

Time7:05pm ET / 4:05pm PT
StadiumYankee Stadium in The Bronx, NY
WeatherIncreased Chance of Rain as the Game Goes On
MoneyLineNew York -115 / Texas -105
Total7.5 Runs (o -115 / u -105)
RunLineNew York -1.5 (+190) / Texas +1.5 (-225)

Texas Rangers

Jacob deGrom appears to be fully-healthy for the first time since 2022, and the results are beginning to follow. In his last start against the Astros, deGrom did not allow a run in 8.0 innings while striking out seven and walking one. Over his last four starts (24.0 innings), he’s allowed a total of three runs.

The Yankees’ current roster is hitting .180 in 57 plate appearances against deGrom with a 35.1-percent strikeout rate and a .282 weighted on-base average.

  • DJ LeMahieum is 3-for-19 with eight strikeouts.
  • Cody Bellinger is 3-for-16 with seven strikeouts.
  • Paul Goldschmidt and Aaron Judge are a combined 2-for-13 with five strikeouts.

New York Yankees

The Rangers’ current roster is hitting .226 in 94 plate appearances against Yankees’ starter Ryan Yarbrough with a 23.4-percent strikeout rate and a .306 weighted on-base average.

  • Jake Burger is 2-for-5 with two doubles.
  • Marcus Semien is 6-for-23 with two doubles and a home run.
  • Kevin Pillar is 3-for-19 with a double and five strikeouts.

Yarbrough has been a solid pitcher through out his career, but we have some concerns about his fit at Yankee Stadium. Yarbrough finished in the bottom-10th percentile among pitchers in strikeout rate last season. Searching for weak contact while pitching at Tropicana Field and Dodger Stadium, where Yarbrough pitched for six years, is a winning strategy. It’s a lot harder at Yankee Stadium where a routine pop fly can turn into a home run.

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction

Weather is a bit of a concern in this one so keep an eye on the forecast through out the day. It should be clear enough to start the game on time, but the rain may increase through out the evening.

The Yankees’ bullpen made life a little bit harder than it needed to be on Tuesday as Devin Williams needed 24 pitches to get through the eighth inning, then Ian Hamilton gave up two runs in the ninth.

Yarbrough hasn’t pitched since May 11, so it’s been ten days since he last stepped on the mound. He has a 5.40 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP at Yankee Stadium so far this season. This is a very affordable price to back deGrom and the Rangers.

TEXAS RANGERS -105 ML

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