San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction and Betting Odds June 7
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Betting Preview
WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his San Diego Padres vs New York Mets betting preview for Tuesday, June 7. The Mets are nine games up in the NL East and the Padres sit 2.5 games back of the Dodgers in the NL West.
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| Tuesday, June 7 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | San Diego Padres -125 vs New York Mets +115 |
| Runline: | Padres -1.5 (+170) / Mets +1.5 (-190) |
| Total: | 7.5 Runs (Over -120 / Under +100) |
| Game Time: | 9:40pm ET / 6:40pm PT |
| Where: | Petco Park in San Diego, CA |
| Weather: | 65 Degrees / Clear |
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Analysis
The New York Mets are in southern California to play the San Diego Padres in the second of a three game series.
Last night, the Mets took game one 11-5 as they roughed up Blake Snell for seven hits and four earned runs in 4.0 innings. Tonight it’s a battle of right-handers as Tajuan Walker goes against veteran Yu Darvish.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Tajuan Walker has started the year well for the Metropolitans, filling in the starting pitching gap with the absence of Jacob DeGrom and Max Scherzer.
In eight starts and 40.2 innings, the right-hander has compiled a 2.88 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP, giving up just 13 walks and two home runs – but only striking out 21. That’s one strikeout every two innings, a very low rate for a major league pitcher.
He’s pitching more to contact and has gotten away with it in most starts this year. The advanced analytics show there could be some negative regression for Walker soon. He has a hard-hit rate of 44.8% and an expected ERA of 4.38 – a full 1.50 higher than his actual ERA.
However, Walker has also allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his eight starts. As long as he can avoid giving up the long ball, the Mets righty should be fine.
He matches up well against a Padres lineup with the 4th worst OPS and the lowest number of home runs (22) against right-handed pitching.
The Mets are hitting really well this year, especially against right-handers with a 2nd best OPS of .761. They’ve scored a lot of runs the last two weeks, crossing the plate 103 times in 14 games. This stretch included one shutout and another one-run game versus the Dodgers.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
Yu Darvish has been solid in his 2022 campaign. In 10 starts and 60.1 innings he’s compiled a 4.03 ERA, an impressive 1.09 WHIP with 48 strikeouts, allowing 15 walks and five home runs.
He’s coming off a below average start June 1 in St. Louis, where he gave up seven hits and five earned runs in 7.2 innings, struck out four and allowed two walks and a home run.
The Padres have mainly relied on pitching for their success this year, as they miss the presence of star shortstop Fernando Tatis, Jr. They have a 24th best OPS of .668 and a team average of .233.
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction
This is a Mets team playing with a lot of confidence and hitting the cover off the baseball. Like they say on Wall Street, “The trend is your friend.” And the last two weeks, they’re on a red-hot trend at the plate – scoring at least five runs in nine of their last 11 games.
While Darvish is a solid, experienced pitcher who matches up well against Walker, I won’t stand in the way of this Mets freight train that put up 11 runs last night. I’ll take the Mets on the moneyline.
Prediction: New York Mets Moneyline
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Tuesday, June 7
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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