Rangers vs Rockies Prediction and Betting Preview | Wednesday May 14
The first two games of this week’s Rangers vs Rockies series have comfortably stayed under their respective totals. Will we see another low-scoring affair on Wednesday? The GoldSheet team offers its thoughts on tonight’s interleague clash in Arlington.
Rangers vs Rockies Betting Preview
| Time | 8:05 pm ET / 5:05pm PT |
| Stadium | Globe Life Field in Arlington |
| Weather | Dome |
| MoneyLine | Texas -250 / Colorado +210 |
| Total | 9 Runs (-110) |
| RunLine | Texas -1.5 (-120) / Colorado +1.5 (EV) |
Colorado Rockies
As a team, the Rockies are hitting .217 this season (No. 28 in MLB) with a .284 on-base percentage (No. 29). Colorado is last in the league in expected batting average and expected weighted on-base average.
The Rockies have scored one run in each of the first two games of this series. In 21 road games, the Rockies have scored an average of 2.10 runs per game and have scored more than four runs one time. Colorado has been held to either one run or no runs in nine of those 21 road games.
Texas Rangers
PSST! Have you heard the news?! Patrick Corbin isn’t that bad and he’s been a very solid arm in the Rangers’ rotation.
Around the All-Star break of last season, Corbin shortened his pitch arsenal and simply stopped throwing the pitches that weren’t working and focused on the pitches he was most comfortable with. It’s a noble concept, but it has worked.
His hard-hit rate has dropped from 46.7-percent last year to 31.4-percent this year. That 31.4-percent hard-hit rate puts him in the 90th-percentile among all pitchers this season. He was in the 3rd-percentile in hard-hit rate last season. That is a massive improvement over the course of a year.
His .274 expected batting average allowed is his best since 2019. His average exit velocity has dropped from 90.8 miles per hour last year to 88.3-percent this year. In his last start against the Tigers (who have a top-10 offense this year), Corbin allowed two runs on three hits in 7.0 innings.
Rangers vs Rockies Prediction
The under is 29-13-1 in Texas’ games this season. While we don’t feel comfortable backing the full-game under with the Rangers’ lineup facing Antonio Senzatela and the Rockies’ bullpen, we do feel comfortable fading Colorado’s lineup against Corbin.
Even with all of Corbin’s struggles in recent years, the Rockies’ lineup is only hitting .246 against him. Kyle Farmer is 3-for-17. Jacob Stallings is 1-for-17. Corbin has only given up three extra-base hits in 82 plate appearances against the Rockies’ current lineup.
COLORADO ROCKIES TEAM TOTAL UNDER 3.5 RUNS (-130)
Daily MLB Stat Sheet
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WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, runlines, totals and betting percentages for every MLB game this summer, including tonight’s Rangers vs Rockies contest. Find free MLB picks every day through out the season on our free picks pages.
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