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Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction and Betting Preview | July 3

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First place in the AL East is up for grabs in Thursday’s Blue Jays vs Yankees showdown at Rogers Centre. Toronto has captured the first three games of the series to pull even with New York at the top of the division standings. The GoldSheet team shares its thoughts on tonight’s game as the Blue Jays look to complete the four-game sweep.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Preview

Time7:07pm ET / 4:07pm PT
StadiumRogers Centre in Toronto
WeatherRetractable-Roof Dome
MoneyLineNew York -125 / Toronto +125
Total9 Runs (o EV / u -120)
RunLineNew York -1.5 (+130) / Toronto +1.5 (-155)

New York Yankees

The Yankees’ lead in the AL East has evaporated, but it’s tough to put too much of the blame on New York’s offense. The Yankees went through a brutal stretch in mid-June where they scored a total of seven runs in seven games against the Royals, Red Sox and Angels. But since that stretch, the Yankees have scored an average of 5.23 runs per game over the last two weeks while hitting .266 with a .350 on-base percentage (No. 3 in MLB) and a 126 wRC+ (No. 8).

The Yankees’ current lineup is hitting .257 in 115 plate appearances against Toronto’s Chris Bassitt with a 25.2-percent strikeout rate and a .328 weighted on-base average.

  • DJ LeMahieu is 0-for-14.
  • Aaron Judge is 5-for-17 with a home run and six strikeouts.
  • Paul Goldschmidt is 4-for-9 with a double and a home run.

Toronto Blue Jays

A red-hot start at the beginning of the season has helped keep Chris Bassitt’s profile looking respectable, but he has an ERA over 5.00 across his last 13 starts.

In his last outing against the Red Sox, he allowed nine runs on eight hits with four walks in 2.0 innings. The Yankees enjoyed success against Bassitt in their prior meeting this season, generating four runs on six hits (including two home runs) in 5.2 innings at the end of April.

The Blue Jays’ current roster is hitting .254 in 76 plate appearances against Yankees’ starter Clarke Schmidt with a 21.1-percent strikeout rate and a .343 weighted on-base average.

  • Vlad Guerrero Jr. is 2-for-13 with a home run and a walk.
  • Bo Bichette is 4-for-12 with a home run and two walks.
  • George Springer is 3-for-10 with a double, a home run and three walks.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

Blue Jays and Yankees have been involved in some wild games to start this series and Toronto’s bullpen threw 100 pitches on Wednesday.

Yariel Rodríguez has pitched on back-to-back days and is presumably unavailable on Thursday. Brendon Little and Yimi García each threw more than 30 pitches on Wednesday, so that duo is also likely unavailable on Thursday.

If the Yankees can find some success against Bassitt in the early innings, the Blue Jays may be forced to use some B-squad arms out of the bullpen in the later innings.

NEW YORK YANKEES TEAM TOTAL OVER 4.5 RUNS (-110)

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WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, runlines, totals and betting percentages for every MLB game this summer, including tonight’s Blue Jays vs Yankees contest. Find free MLB picks every day through out the season on our free picks pages.

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