2025 Ole Miss Football Preview Presented by GoldSheet | SEC Predictions
Lane Kiffin has taken the Ole Miss football program to new heights, but the Rebels need to overcome their stigma of losing focus in games they should win. Coach Kiffin has been busy acquiring talent in the offseason because Ole Miss is expected to return less than 50-percent of its production on both sides of the ball in 2025.
2025 Ole Miss Football Preview
SEC Betting Odds
| Team | 2024 Record | 2025 Win Total | SEC Odds | Nat’l Champ Odds |
| Alabama | 9-4 (5-3) | 9.5 (o -125 / u +105) | +380 | +1100 |
| Arkansas | 7-6 (3-5) | 5.5 (o +110 / u -130) | +15000 | +40000 |
| Auburn | 5-7 (2-6) | 7.5 (o -160 / u +135) | +2800 | +7000 |
| Florida | 8-5 (4-4) | 7.5 (o +115 / u -135) | +1800 | +4000 |
| Georgia | 11-3 (6-2) | 9.5 (o -170 / u +140) | +330 | +700 |
| Kentucky | 4-8 (1-7) | 4.5 (o -115 / u -105) | +25000 | +50000 |
| LSU | 9-4 (5-3) | 8.5 (o -140 / u +120) | +700 | +1800 |
| Ole Miss | 10-3 (5-3) | 8.5 (-110) | +1600 | +4500 |
| Mississippi St | 2-10 (0-8) | 3.5 (o -160 / u +135) | +50000 | +80000 |
| Missouri | 10-3 (5-3) | 7.5 (o +130 / u -155) | +6000 | +15000 |
| Oklahoma | 6-7 (2-6) | 6.5 (o -170 / u +140) | +2800 | +6500 |
| South Carolina | 9-4 (5-3) | 7.5 (o +125 / u -150) | +2500 | +6000 |
| Tennessee | 10-3 (6-2) | 8.5 (o +115 / u -135) | +2500 | +6000 |
| Texas | 13-3 (7-1) | 9.5 (o -170 / u +140) | +270 | +550 |
| Texas A&M | 8-5 (5-3) | 8.5 (o +125 / u -150) | +1500 | +4000 |
| Vanderbilt | 7-6 (3-5) | 5.5 (o +130 / u -155) | +20000 | +50000 |
Odds above courtesy of DraftKings as of July 26. The Rebels went 10-3 straight-up, 8-5 against the spread last season with a win over Duke in the Gator Bowl. Ole Miss was favored in all three games that it lost last season, including a three-point home loss to Kentucky as a 15.5-point favorite and a seven-point loss to Florida as a 13-point road favorite.
2025 Ole Miss Football Roster
Projected Returning Starters: 12 (Six on offense and six on defense)
Projected Starting QB: Austin Simmons (Returning back-up from last year)
Returning Production: 47-percent (45-percent on offense and 49-percent on defense)
Incoming Talent Class: No. 16 Nationally / No. 10 in SEC
Coaching Changes: No major changes. Head coach Lane Kiffin, offensive coordinator Charlie Weis Jr. and defensive coordinator Pete Golding have all returned.
Returning starters are courtesy of Phil Steele’s 2025 College Football Preview Magazine. Returning production is courtesy of Bill Connelly’s conference preview series at ESPN. Incoming talent rankings are courtesy of 247 Sports’ Composite Ratings, which capture the talent rankings of both incoming freshman and incoming transfers.
2024 Ole Miss Football Stats
Strength of Schedule: No. 55 (courtesy of Jeff Sagarin)
Turnover Differential: +10 (No. 13 Nationally)
Plays per Game: 73.2 (No. 20)
Seconds per Play: 23.2 (No. 12)
Average Time of Possession: 28:23 (No. 109)
Ole Miss Football Stats on Offense
Yards per Game: 526.5 (No. 2)
Points per Game: 38.6 (No. 3)
Yards per Play: 7.33 (No. 2)
Offensive Success Rate: 46.3-percent (No. 14)
Explosive Plays (20+ Yards): 93 (No. 3)
Net EPA per Play: +0.30 (No. 7)
Ole Miss Football Stats on Defense
Yards per Game Allowed: 311.2 (No. 14)
Points per Game Allowed: 14.4 (No. 2)
Yards per Play Allowed: 4.48 (No. 4)
Defensive Success Rate: 35.9-percent (No. 8)
Explosive Plays Allowed (20+ Yards): 48 (No. 35)
Success Rate is an advanced metric that factors in the down and distance in relation to yards gained. A two-yard gain for a running back doesn’t look great in his overall box score, however a two-yard gain on 3rd-and-2 is a successful play. A low success rate on defense means you’re doing a good job of stopping the opponent from achieving successful plays. EPA stands for expected points added per play and it is a measure of how many points a team adds (or loses) on each play compared to the expected value.
2025 Ole Miss Football Schedule
2025 Football GoldSheet Newsletter
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WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of the Ole Miss football games from their release in May all the way through Week 1 in August. Find free college football picks from season win total bets through National Championship futures on our free picks pages.
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