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San Diego State vs Charleston Prediction, Betting Picks & Top Odds: NCAA Tournament March 16

San Diego State players celebrate after play

San Diego State vs Charleston Prediction: The Betting Preview

Two conference champs will take the floor in Thursday’s San Diego State vs Charleston matchup in Orlando. The Mountain West champs have opened as a 5.5-point favorite over the representatives from the CAA.

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San Diego State vs Charleston NCAA Tournament Pick : Best Betting Odds

Thursday, March 16Game Notes & Top Odds NCAA Tournament, Courtesy of Caesars
Point Spread:San Diego State Aztecs -5.5 vs Charleston Cougars
Total:142 points
Arena:Amway Center in Orlando, FL
Game Time: 3:10pm ET / 12:10pm PT

San Diego State vs Charleston Prediction : Game Betting Analysis

Just about everyone enjoys going to Disney World, but you can’t help but chuckle at some of the matchups in Orlando on Thursday.

The already-dangerous Paladins from Furman get a nice, easy trip from South Carolina in their matchup with Virginia, and now Charleston gets to enjoy a smooth trip as the 12-seed, while San Diego State has to travel across the country as the 5-seed.

If Furman is able to pull the mild upset over Virginia, you have to imagine that a decent number of those clad in purple will stick around the Amway Center to support their in-state partners against the Aztecs.

Charleston’s Rolls With Light Schedule – So Are They Good or Not?

So while the logistics certainly favor the Cougars, the matchup doesn’t look quite as friendly. Charleston enjoyed a fantastic season under second-year head coach Pat Kelsey, but it’s fair to ask about the Cougars’ level of competition up to this point.

Through no fault of their own, non-conference games that looked tough on paper at the beginning of the year (North Carolina, Richmond, Davidson, Colorado State and Virginia Tech) lost some value over the course of the season.

Charleston only had to play Hofstra once during the CAA regular season and managed to avoid the Pride in the conference tournament.

According to KenPom’s metrics, the CAA was 14th out of 32 conferences last year just behind the SoCon and Conference USA. This year the CAA was 26th behind leagues like the MAAC and America East. That’s a notable drop-off from one year to the next.

San Diego State vs Charleston Expert Prediction

Coach Kelsey’s full-steam-ahead approach on offense was dominant in the CAA, but the Cougars will be facing a much different animal on Thursday.

Courtesy of Jon Fendler: Charleston ran transition offense at the fifth-highest rate in the country this season while SDSU leads the country in transition rate allowed.

The team that gave the Aztecs the most problems this year was New Mexico, who used two veteran guards to run the pick-and-roll. Charleston is No. 324 in pick-and-roll usage. The Aztecs’ defense is built upon shutting down what Charleston does best.

Look no further than San Diego State’s win in the Mountain West title game over Utah State. The Aggies are top-15 in the country in offensive efficiency, effective field goal shooting and three-point shooting.

San Diego State held them to 57 points on 4-for-24 shooting from beyond the arc. This total is a few ticks too high. Play the under.

Prediction: Under 142 Points Scored

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NCAA Tournament Tip-Off Show | Betting Trends and Angles

Join WagerTalk college basketball handicappers Ralph Michaels and Dwayne Bryant for the Happy Hour Tip Off Show as they provide NCAA Tournament specific betting trends and angles that could pertain to this San Diego State vs Charleston NCAA Tournament game. Listen to their betting analysis before action begins!

2023 NCAA Tournament Betting Trends and Angles | Happy Hour Tip-Off Show for March 13

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WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track college basketball point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of this week’s action, including this San Diego State vs Charleston showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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