Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Picks, Prediction and Odds November 1, 2026
The Jets just lost at home to a previously winless Miami team, and now they’re being asked to lay points again. That uncomfortable spot is the starting point for this Raiders vs Jets prediction. Las Vegas has dropped four straight after a 3-0 start and badly needs a win before a brutal upcoming stretch, while New York is dealing with a frustrated star receiver and a quarterback who has been sacked 21 times in six games.
With Kirk Cousins and Geno Smith slinging it on opposite sidelines, the total has already climbed three full points since opening. Before you finalize your NFL predictions, here’s a complete breakdown of the odds, line movement, matchups, and best bets for Raiders vs Jets.
Raiders vs Jets Quick Picks and Prediction
- Best Bet: Over 45.5 (-105)
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 (-110)
- Total Pick: Over 45.5 (-105)
- Projected Final Score: Raiders 27, Jets 24
Odds and Line Movement for Las Vegas vs New York
This spread has flipped favorites multiple times since opening, bouncing between Las Vegas -1.5 and New York -1.5 before settling with the Jets as 1.5-point favorites. The total has seen a steady climb, rising from 42.5 to 45.5. Public spread money is entirely on Las Vegas. Monitor every move with our live odds.
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders | +1.5 (-122) | Over 42.5 (-110) |
| New York Jets | -1.5 (+102) | Under 42.5 (-110) |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders | +1.5 (-110) | Over 45.5 (-105) |
| New York Jets | -1.5 (-110) | Under 45.5 (-115) |
Line Movement – Spread
| Date | Las Vegas | N.Y. Jets |
|---|---|---|
| 10/27 | +1.5 (-110) | -1.5 (-110) |
| 10/27 | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (-105) |
| 10/27 | +1.5 (-120) | -1.5 (+100) |
| 10/27 | +1.5 (-125) | -1.5 (+105) |
| 10/27 | -1.5 (+105) | +1.5 (-125) |
| 10/26 | +1.5 (-122) | -1.5 (+102) |
| 10/26 | -1.5 (+105) | +1.5 (-125) |
| 10/25 | +1.5 (-122) | -1.5 (+102) |
| 10/25 | +1.5 (-118) | -1.5 (-102) |
| 10/25 | -1.5 (+102) | +1.5 (-122) |
| 10/21 | -1.5 (+105) | +1.5 (-125) |
| 10/21 | +1.5 (-122) | -1.5 (+102) |
Line Movement – Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10/27 | 45.5 (-105) | 45.5 (-115) |
| 10/26 | 45.5 (-110) | 45.5 (-110) |
| 10/26 | 45.5 (-105) | 45.5 (-115) |
| 10/26 | 44.5 (-115) | 44.5 (-105) |
| 10/25 | 44.5 (-110) | 44.5 (-110) |
| 10/25 | 44.5 (-105) | 44.5 (-115) |
| 10/20 | 42.5 (-110) | 42.5 (-110) |
Key Matchups and Handicap: Raiders vs Jets
Las Vegas has owned this matchup lately, winning four of the last five meetings. The most recent was a 16-12 Raiders home win in November 2023.
The Jets probably aren’t thrilled to be home favorites right now. New York lost at home to the previously winless Dolphins last week as a 4.5-point favorite and was outplayed by Miami for long stretches.
Geno Smith continues to provide a somewhat steady hand in the passing game, but he’s also prone to back-breaking mistakes that knock the offense out of rhythm. Smith has thrown an interception in back-to-back weeks and has been sacked 21 times over the last six games.
The Jets’ top receivers were nearly invisible against Miami. Garrett Wilson and Adonai Mitchell combined for just two catches for 26 yards, leading Wilson to cause a bit of a scene on the sideline and in the locker room. It’s a safe bet both will be more involved in the game plan this week.
Las Vegas faced a tough stretch of the schedule, and the bloom has come off the rose after the Raiders failed to build on a 3-0 start. Plenty of teams would have gone 0-4 against the Chiefs, Patriots, Bills, and Rams, but Las Vegas badly needs this one to avoid a complete tailspin.
The Raiders face San Francisco, Seattle, and Denver next, so an eight-game losing streak is firmly on the table if they can’t stop the bleeding. Head coach Klint Kubiak said he’s not considering a quarterback switch to Fernando Mendoza, and Kirk Cousins has a firm grasp on the starting job.
The Raiders have completely abandoned the run, instead using Ashton Jeanty as a pass-catcher out of the backfield. Jeanty caught all eight of his targets last week against the Rams for 61 yards and a touchdown.
With two aging quarterbacks trying to sling it around, this matchup has the makings of entertaining football, even if it isn’t always good football. A pick-six or a sack-fumble returned for a touchdown is firmly in play with Cousins and Smith on opposite sides.
Betting Trends: LV vs NYJ
- The Raiders have won four of the last five meetings.
- Las Vegas won the last meeting 16-12 at home in November 2023.
- The Jets lost outright as 4.5-point home favorites to the previously winless Dolphins last week.
- Geno Smith has been sacked 21 times over the last six games.
- Smith has thrown an interception in back-to-back weeks.
- The Raiders have lost four straight after a 3-0 start.
- Early money has shown on the over, pushing the total from 42.5 to 45.5.
- Public spread money is entirely on Las Vegas.
Key Injuries and Notes: LV vs NYJ
- Las Vegas: Kirk Cousins will remain the starting quarterback, with no switch to Fernando Mendoza planned.
- Las Vegas: RB Ashton Jeanty caught eight passes for 61 yards and a touchdown against the Rams.
- Las Vegas: The Raiders face San Francisco, Seattle, and Denver after this game.
- New York: WR Garrett Wilson and WR Adonai Mitchell combined for two catches for 26 yards last week.
- New York: Wilson caused a scene on the sideline and in the locker room after the loss to Miami.
- New York: Geno Smith has thrown interceptions in consecutive games.
- Weather conditions at the Meadowlands in early November are worth monitoring.
ATS and Total Picks for Raiders vs Jets
Total Pick: The over is the strongest play in this matchup. Early money has pushed the total from 42.5 to 45.5, and the reasoning holds up. Two aging quarterbacks are likely to throw early and often, Las Vegas has shifted to a pass-heavy approach with Jeanty as a receiving weapon, and the Jets should make a point of getting Wilson and Mitchell more involved. Turnover-prone quarterbacks also raise the odds of a defensive score. Keep an eye on the weather, but take the over 45.5.
ATS Pick: This spread has flipped back and forth all week, and the Raiders are worth backing as a short underdog. Las Vegas has won four of the last five meetings and badly needs a win before a brutal upcoming stretch. The Jets just lost at home to a winless team and are dealing with a frustrated star receiver and a quarterback who keeps taking sacks. Take the Raiders +1.5.
Las Vegas vs New York Best Bets
- Best Bet: Over 45.5 (-105)
- Spread: Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Las Vegas Raiders
- Total: Over 45.5 (-105)
Final Score Prediction for Raiders vs Jets
Cousins and Jeanty should do just enough for Las Vegas to snap its losing streak in a sloppy, high-scoring game that features its share of mistakes from both quarterbacks.
- Final Score Prediction: Raiders 27, Jets 24
- Spread Result: Raiders cover +1.5
- Total Result: Over 45.5
