2025 Wurth 400 Picks and Predictions – NASCAR Betting Preview May 4

NASCAR Wurth 400 Betting Preview
NASCAR heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the Wurth 400 as drivers start their engines on May 2, 2025 for the big race! WagerTalk NASCAR handicapper Andy Lang gives his Wurth 400 picks and predictions before the race starts up at 3:30pm ET!
2025 Wurth 400 Betting Odds
Sunday, May 4 | Wurth 400 Notes (Courtesy of Caesars) |
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Date: | May 4, 2025 |
Time: | 3:30pm ET / 12:30pm PT |
Location: | Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, TX |
Favorite to Win: | Kyle Larson (+330) |
TV: | FOX |
Wurth 400 Track: Texas Motor Speedway
Texas Motor Speedway, located in Fort Worth, is a 1.5-mile asphalt quad-oval renowned for its high speeds and expansive racing surface. The track features 20 degrees of banking in Turns 1 and 2, and 24 degrees in Turns 3 and 4, with straightaways banked at 5 degrees.
It’s wide layout and long frontstretch (2,250 feet) and backstretch (1,330 feet) make it one of the fastest non superspeedway tracks on the NASCAR circuit.
Since its reconfiguration in 2017, the track has presented unique challenges, leading to mixed reviews from drivers and fans.
In recent years, Hendrick Motorsports has found success here, with William Byron winning in 2023 and Chase Elliott securing a dramatic victory in 2024, ending a personal winless streak and a 30-year drought for his sponsor, Hooters.
Despite its challenges, Texas Motor Speedway remains a pivotal venue in the NASCAR schedule, often influencing playoff standings and championship outcomes.
NASCAR Wurth 400 Head-to-Head Prediction
Ross Chastain -125 over Brad Keselowski
It hasn’t been a great start to the season for Keselowski as he still doesn’t have a top 10 finish, and he finished 26th at Miami, 11th at Vegas and 33rd at Phoenix, so not great on the ovals.
Chastain beat him in two out of those three races, and has five top 10s this season. Chastain ran into trouble last year and finished 32nd while Brad was 2nd at Texas, but this is a new year and I see way more upside in Chastain and his team right now.
Wurth 400 Top 10 Prediction
Alex Bowman +100
I love this play. Bowman has been miserable at Texas the last few years, but I feel like he’s been a bit snake bitten.
He finished 5th here in 2020 and 2019 so we know he’s capable of good things here, and he’s finished 7th, 7th and 2nd at Phoenix, Vegas, and Miami so he’s shown success on these mile and mile and a half tracks. I like the Hendricks cars still, I see another solid week for them, including Bowman.
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