Premier League Predictions - Best EPL Bets for April 18
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Pavlos Laguretos
English Premier League
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Everton vs Liverpool
EPL, Sunday, 9am ET
Play: 1H Everton PK
Odds at Time of Release: +118
Line Parameter: Line good to +105
The Merseyside Derby takes place on Sunday in the EPL, when Everton will play host to city rivals Liverpool.
Liverpool are +130 favourites on the road, the Draw is at +235 and Everton are +225 underdogs at home, with the Spread at 0.25 and the Total at 2.5 Goals.
This is the first time Everton will host Liverpool in their new stadium, and they're having a pretty strong season after many years, in fact they are fighting for a European ticket as they are currently sitting 8th with 47 points, tied with Brentford above them, and both teams just 1 point behind Chelsea, and 5 points behind Liverpool.
Everton are in good form with 3 wins, a draw and a loss (away at Arsenal) in L/5, they will look to extend Liverpool's misery here, and they traditionally kept these matches vs Liverpool close, especially at home, where they are unbeaten in L/3 (W1 D2), have lost just one of L/8 and just 2 of L/13, albeit with a LOT of draws in that span (10 draws in those 13 matches.
Liverpool are coming off another loss to PSG mid-week and were eliminated from the Champions League. Already out of both Cups, so the Premier League is all they got right now, and are fighting for a top-5 finish and a Champions League ticket that comes with it. However, they are not well, Salah is leaving in the summer, they just lost Ekitike to a ruptured ACL that will leave him unavailable for a LONG time, Isak is back from his injury but playing minimal minutes, and they've lost each of L/4, and 5 of L/6 on the road.
Everton have the 4th best 1H record (W13 D10 L9) and the 6th best 1H record at home (W8 D2 L6).
Liverpool have the 3rd WORST 1H record on the road (W1 D9 L6), scoring just 4 goals in 16 matches, and conceding 10.
1H results in L/10 H2H: D/W/D/L/D/D/D/D/D/D
Their only 1H loss as hosts to Liverpool in L/10 came in the 2021/22 season, one of Liverpool's best seasons in recent memory, where they finished with 92 points, losing just 2 matches all season, but they lost that title to Man City who finished with 93 points.
Take 2% on 1H Everton PK (+118), line good to +105
Released/revised 18 hour(s) ago
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