Pavlos Laguretos

THE PLAY: REGULATION Penalty Kick Awarded (+215)

Sevilla vs Celta
La Liga, Monday, 3pm ET

Play: Penalty Kick Awarded
Odds at Time of Release: +215 FD
Line Parameter: Line good to +150

Sevilla are under a lot of pressure right now after losing three in a row, including a loss that eliminated them from the Cup. They also have players on international duty, injuries and suspensions, so Sevilla are tense right now, and tension leads to Penalties, Cards and, sometimes, Own Goals.

Sevilla's matches (in reverse chronological order):

vs Levante: Penalty Kick
at Real Madrid: Penalty Kick & Red Card
at Alaves: Penalty Kick
vs Oviedo: Red Card
at Valencia: Own Goal
vs Betis: Red Card
at Espanyol: Own Goal
vs Osasuna: Penalty Kick
at Atletico Madrid: Penalty Kick
at Real Sociedad: Penalty Kick

Each of Sevilla's L/10 matches had either a Penalty Kick, a Red Card or an Own Goal.

Earlier in the season:

vs Mallorca: -
vs Barcelona: 2 Penalty Kicks
at Rayo Vallecano: Red Card
vs Villarreal: -
at Alaves: Penalty Kick
vs Elche: -
at Girona: -
vs Getafe: Own Goal
vs Bilbao: Penalty Kick

In 19 matches vs La Liga sides this season, there has been a Penalty Kick, a Red Card or an Own Goal in 15/19.

Now Sevilla are playing against Celta, our favourite team for this tactic, so we ride.

H2H L/5 years:

Celta-Sevilla 3-2: Red Cards & Penalty Kick
Sevilla-Celta 1-0: -
Sevilla-Celta 1-2: -
Celta-Sevilla 1-1: Red Card
Sevilla-Celta 2-2: 2 Red Cards
Celta-Sevilla 1-1: Red Card
Sevilla-Celta 2-2: -
Celta-Sevilla 0-1: -
Celta-Sevilla 3-4: Penalty Kick

Referee Stats:

2025/26: 11 matches, 5 Red Cards, 4 Penalty Kicks
2024/25: 38 matches, 5 Red Cards, 16 Penalty Kicks
2023/24: 33 matches, 8 Red Cards, 5 Penalty Kicks

He has officiated 23 matches for Celta, resulting in 8 Red Cards and 12 Penalty Kicks, which is a very good ratio.

Take 1% on Penalty Kick Awarded (+215 FD), line good to +150