Pavlos Laguretos
Featured Pick
4% LIGA MX BEST BET PLAYER PROP
70% (14-6) RUN IN 4% PROPS (+26.8u)
- 75% (9-3) Run in 4% Releases L/1 Month (+20u)
- 64% (46-26) Run in 4% Releases L/6 Months (+48u)
- 63% (98-58) Run in 4% Releases L/12 Months (+104u)
Pavlos has been consistently winning 4% Best Bets on a 63% winrate or higher over the last year (+104u) and is also on a 14-6 run in 4% Props (+26.8u). Up now is a 4% Player Prop in the Liga MX Playoffs on Saturday (odds from DraftKings). Make sure to check out Pavlos' Sunday EPL Free Play Breakdown and also consider our promos below:
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Leagues included: Champions League, Europa League, World Cup Qualifiers, MLS, EPL, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Liga MX, Leagues Cup, Copa Libertadores, Copa Sudamericana, Africa Cup of Nations in December and all the international matches!
Hot Streaks
75% (9-3) Run in 4% Releases L/1 Month (+19.84u)
64% (46-26) Run in 4% Releases L/6 Months (+48.12u)
63% (98-58) Run in 4% Releases L/12 Months (+103.96u)
80% (31-8) run in 4% Parlays (+85.56u)
70% (14-6) run in 4% Props (+26.8u)
Last updated Nov 28, 5:08 AM EST
All Plays
4% LIGA MX BEST BET PLAYER PROP
70% (14-6) RUN IN 4% PROPS (+26.8u)
- 75% (9-3) Run in 4% Releases L/1 Month (+20u)
- 64% (46-26) Run in 4% Releases L/6 Months (+48u)
- 63% (98-58) Run in 4% Releases L/12 Months (+104u)
Pavlos has been consistently winning 4% Best Bets on a 63% winrate or higher over the last year (+104u) and is also on a 14-6 run in 4% Props (+26.8u). Up now is a 4% Player Prop in the Liga MX Playoffs on Saturday (odds from DraftKings). Make sure to check out Pavlos' Sunday EPL Free Play Breakdown and also consider our promos below:
Tons of soccer action till the end of the year and you can get a discount with a 3/7/30/90 Day All Access!
Get 90 Days of Soccer for just $349 (regular price $499) and get ALL plays, from ALL competitions, ALL props and ALL futures, including 5% releases for under $4/day.
Leagues included: Champions League, Europa League, World Cup Qualifiers, MLS, EPL, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Liga MX, Leagues Cup, Copa Libertadores, Copa Sudamericana, Africa Cup of Nations in December and all the international matches!
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For a limited time, take $500 off a full 365-day All-Access Pass to Pavlos Laguretos, bringing the price down from $1,999 to just $1,499!
That’s only $125/month or $4.10/day to get every pick, every sport, and every 5% best bet released over the next 12 months.
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Downloads
How to Bet on Soccer Cheat Sheet
What’s Inside:
How Soccer Betting Differs from American Sports: Learn why soccer betting is unique — from the 90-minute rule to why bets settle at the end of regulation, even if there's extra time or penalty kicks.
Understanding 3-Way Betting: Master one of the most common soccer bets: choosing between a win, loss, or draw. Know when to target underdogs, draws, or favorites based on match scenarios.
Moneyline, Totals, and Goal Lines Explained: Get clear on soccer-specific moneylines, how over/under total goals work, and how goal lines (similar to spreads) create different betting opportunities.
Futures Betting in Soccer: Dive into betting markets like which team will win a tournament (World Cup, UEFA Champions League) or finish top of a domestic league. Understand odds movement throughout a season.
Props and Specialty Bets: Explore popular soccer prop bets, including “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS), “Correct Score,” “First Goal Scorer,” and player props like total shots or cards received.
Key Tips for Betting Soccer Smarter: Learn what stats matter most in soccer betting — from team form and injuries to head-to-head matchups, goal differential, and lineup rotation based on tournament schedules.
Bonus: Injury Time & Extra Time Basics: Understand how injury time impacts betting results, and why knowing tournament overtime rules is critical before placing knockout-stage bets.
Summary Teaser (Optional add-on):
Soccer betting isn’t like betting football, basketball, or baseball — and if you don't know the differences, you're leaving money on the table. Our free Soccer Betting 101 Cheat Sheet walks you through everything you need to bet smarter: from 3-way betting basics to futures, goal lines, and beyond. Download now and start cashing tickets like a pro!
Free Picks
THE PLAY: 1H Total Under 1.0 (-110)
Chelsea vs Arsenal
EPL, Sunday, 11:30am ET
Play: 1H Under 1 Goal
Odds at Time of Release: -110
Line Parameter: Line good to -125
HUGE London Derby between two sides that are playing extremely well this season and are both coming off MASSIVE wins mid-week in the Champions League, as Chelsea beat Barcelona by 3-0 and Arsenal coming off a 3-1 win vs Bayern Munich. Both teams are in high spirits at this point in time and this is bound to be a very exciting match on Sunday.
Chelsea are +245 favourites at home, the Darw is at +230 and Arsenal are +125 favourites on the road, with the spread set at 0.25 and the total set at 2.5 goals.
Arsenal had no problems vs Bayern Munich mid-week, blasting them by 3-1 in another defensive masterclass by Mikel Arteta and the Gunners, allowing just 8 shots (2 on target) and 0.65 xG to Bayern Munich and forcing them to their first loss of the season, in a spectacular manner too. Best defense in the world right now and I think they take this slow vs Chelsea, who also have that defensive DNA in them and I think the two teams will primarily look to avoid the loss here. Especially since this is a double game-week, with a full mid-week slate coming up and generally a heavy schedule to finish the calendar year, with 9 matches coming up over the next month.
Last season, both H2H finished well under the total, a 1-1 draw in this venue and a 1-0 win for Arsenal at home. The Under 2.5 Goals is at -120 and definitely worth a shot, but I think that the 1H under is a safer way to go.
1H Under 1 Goal is -110 and that's the best bet here. Both teams tend to produce more goals in their second halves.
Arsenal with 13 goals in 1H but 17 in 2H, regardless of venue. Chelsea with 14 goals in 1H but 20 in 2H. Both teams have seen 12 of 15 matches have zero or 1 first half goal. And if we dissect these in home/away, this is even more obvious.
Chelsea in six 1H at home: 4 goals, 1 conceded, 5 of 6 had zero or 1 first half goals.
Arsenal in six 1H on the road: 3 goals, 2 conceded, 5 of 6 had zero or 1 first half goals.
The two H2H last season had zero and 1 1H goals respectively, and only 1 of L/6 H2H produced 2+ first half goals.
1H goals in L/3 seasons: 1/0/1/1/3/0
The 1H Total is set at 1 and I think there is a much better chance of seeing zero or 1, than seeing 2 or more, so the 1H Under 1 Goal is at -110 and a great option here.
Take 3% on 1H Under 1 Goal (-110), line good to -125
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Consultant Bio
Pavlos betting on European sports when he was in High School, back when most people his age didn't even know how to bet. After acquiring a Bachelor's Degree in International Economic Relationships and development from the Democritus University in Greece, Pavlos took a different path.
Things really took off for him in 2014 when he officially started writing predictions for US-based sites. Things picked up pretty quickly, and he has produced thousands upon thousands of match previous and predictions. He tends to venture off the beaten path, looking for hidden gems in a myriad of games you can bet on.
Single and double bets aside, Pavlos likes to play the odds as well. While some days there are safe single bets, there are other days that provide opportunities for different bets. Bets like Correct Scores, amount of Yellow Cards, Half-Time/Full-Time results, and all kinds of prop bets. Pavlos covers the following leagues: Major League Soccer (MLS), Copa America, EURO Cup, English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A, French Ligue 1, Champions League, and Europa League.
The betting systems he created have seen some massive pay-outs over the years. A couple of correct scores paired together can potentially save your entire season. These are small-stake bets that cost a few units but could bring massive returns on your investment.
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