Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

Hot Streaks

2026 YEAR TO DATE: 319-249-2 (56.2%) +93.26 UNITS

2026 ALL BASEBALL: 196-157 (55.5%) +26.94 UNITS

2025/26 ALL FOOTBALL: 40-27-2 (59.7%) +35.85 UNITS

2026/27 ALL FOOTBALL: 8-2 (80%) +20.77 UNITS

CBB SINCE JAN 1: 115-87-2 (56.9%) +61.35 UNITS

Last updated Sep 17, 5:29 PM EDT

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5% NFL MAX BET | 8-2 (80%) +20.77 UNITS THIS SEASON!

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Adam CASHED his 5% NFL WEEK 1 MAX BET on the Vikings and goes for another MAX CASH with another 5% NFL MAX BET on Sunday afternoon!

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*Access includes all MLB selections and any college/international baseball released and played during your 3-day window.

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Free Picks

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
BSB
(306123) Tacoma Rainiers at (306124) Round Rock Express: Moneyline
7:45pm EDT - Sep 17/2026

THE PLAY: Round Rock Express -106

Round Rock has a better team right now. Full analysis up by 7:30PM ET...

Tacoma had Laz Montes and Michael Arroyo tearing it up for the Rainiers most of the second half. Since this duo got the call to Seattle this Tacoma lineup is pedestrian and just doesn't give the Rainiers the chance to win many games.

Tacoma has been able to get by at times with pitching but this has also taken a hit the past couple months as Casey Lawrence (most consistent innings eater) is no longer with the organization and the Mariners lost some of their AAA bullpen depth in deadline trades.

Tacoma goes with AAA journeyman Jhonathan Diaz who just turned 30 and has a 6.22 ERA in 131.2 innings at Triple A this year. Diaz simply isn't that tough to hit at this point in his career but is one of those veteran guys that every team seems to keep around to eat up innings. That's what Diaz has done the past few seasons for Tacoma but his numbers have dipped considerably this season and he's become a fade candidate when he gets the ball for the Rainiers.

Round Rock has arguably the best team they have had all season ever since John Taylor got promoted from Double A. Right now Round Rock is really good because Cam Cauley has been sent back down and Jonah Bride has started to hit to his ability. Round Rock had been a sub par team in the 1st Half because they simply didn't have the lineup. Round Rock is winning of late because the lineup is much better and the Express are a "bet on" when Taylor/Bride/Cauley are all playing which will be the case here.

Round Rock also has arguably their best starter on the mound tonight with Dalton Pence getting the ball for the Express. Pence is having a monster season in the minors and has actually improved since getting to Triple A. Pence has a 1.82 ERA and .208 BAA in 34.2 innings pitched for Round Rock. This isn't a good Tacoma lineup right now and I expect the southpaw to turn in a solid outing to finish a fantastic 2026 campagin here.

This line is straight up incorrect. Tacoma has been a big downgrade since losing Montes and Arroyo. Round Rock should be a bigger favorite here.

Play on Round Rock Express -106 for 3% (or 3 units)

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Last 20

Date
Sport
Pick
Result
Sep 16
MLB
Toronto Blue Jays -130 Keider Montero (RHP), Max Scherzer (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
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Sep 16
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Columbus Clippers -112
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Sep 15
BSB
Syracuse Mets -134
(Analysis)
Win
Sep 15
MLB
Toronto Blue Jays -134 Action
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Sep 14
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs -130
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Sep 13
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Minnesota Vikings -120
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Win
Sep 13
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Salt Lake Bees -110
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Sep 12
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Seattle Mariners -156 Bryan Woo (RHP), Gage Jump (LHP) Must Start
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Las Vegas Aviators -118
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CFB
Virginia Tech -18.5 (-112)
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KBO
KT Wiz -117
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Sep 11
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Iowa Cubs +1.5 (-126)
(Analysis)
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KBO
Kia Tigers -158
(Analysis)
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Sep 11
MLB
San Francisco Giants +1.5 (-130) Robbie Ray (LHP), Anthony Molina (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
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Sep 10
BSB
Las Vegas Aviators -112
(Analysis)
Win
Sep 10
BSB
Syracuse Mets -112
(Analysis)
Win
Sep 09
MLB
Athletics +1.5 (-111) Action
(Analysis)
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Sep 09
BSB
Syracuse Mets -108
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Sep 08
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Syracuse Mets -112
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Seattle Mariners -130 Action
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Consultant Bio

Adam has been a Professional Sports Handicapper for the past decade since founding Top Flight Sports with one of his Siena College roommates back in 2013.  Adam got his start in the handicapping industry in 2008 writing analysis for another well-known website and set out to sell picks that always contain a full breakdown of WHY a bet is being made. In the past decade, Adam has placed in Circa Millions as well as made it to the Top 50 in Circa Survivor multiple times.  Adam values transparency and is considered by many to be one of the top football (NCAA and NFL), baseball (MLB, KBO, AAA), and College Basketball handicappers in the world.


Adam is ultra-selective with the picks he puts out and lives by the "less is more" mantra.  Adam believes the biggest advantage you have as the bettor is the ability to be selective and uses regression analysis to target numbers that the books have shaded to gain an edge.  Adam is willing to "buck the trend" and focuses on situational betting where he feels like he's uncovered an edge that hasn't been priced into a number.  Adam is out there attending more games in person than any other handicapper and has amassed a network of contacts that has become second to none in the industry.


You can only find Adam on WagerTalk, this is his only gig and the guarantee he can provide is he's out there grinding 365 days a year.  Follow Adam on Twitter @AdamTriggerWT and if you shoot him a DM he will almost always respond!
 

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