Kelly's CFB Saturday 6-Pack

THE PLAY: Cleveland Browns +5.0 (-110)

PLAY: BROWNS +5

Lamar Jackson sprained his left ankle and missed Sunday night in Atlanta. Jesse Minter says he is "definitely doing better" but would not commit to him for Cleveland, and we won't know more until later in the week. Even if Lamar suits up, his game is built on his legs, and he'd be playing on a bad ankle.

I argued last week that Tyler Huntley is serviceable...and he did just enough to get his team a win on Sunday night.  Bottom line, the -5.5 says it’s Lamar.

Cleveland 2-0 at home on the season, beating Carolina 21-18 and Pittsburgh 27-24. Outside of the opener at Jacksonville, this defense hasn't allowed more than 24 points, and it ranks fourth in the league in red zone defense.

The loss at the Jets was there for the taking (and we are thankful they didn’t!). Cleveland held a two-point lead inside the final five minutes in a steady rain, then a snap sailed over the punter's head and set up the go-ahead score. Isaiah Bond dropped three passes, one of them a touchdown.

Deshaun Watson is 7-2 TD-INT on the season with 167 yards rushing.

Divisional dogs barking once again in the AFC North. Give me the Browns and the points.

THE PLAY: Colorado State +14.0 (-110)

PLAY: COLORADO STATE +14

What does Colorado State do well? They take the ball away from their opponents. The Rams have 11 takeaways on the season.

Both teams are coming off a bye for Thursday night's game in San Marcos. Ksaan Farrar has taken over at quarterback, throwing for 344 yards at UTSA, and Jayden Brown is averaging 10 yards per carry.

Texas State is 3-2, but look at the some of the wins... North Texas and Incarnate Word. The Bobcats lost 31-26 to UTSA at home and 31-29 at San Diego State, and they have turned it over nine times on the season. Brad Jackson has 13 touchdown passes, but he has also thrown five interceptions.

That is a lot to lay with a team that gives it away like Texas State.