14-1 93% ANGLE | 4% SAT. CFB BLOWOUT

THE PLAY: Memphis -14.0 (-110)

This matchup favors what Memphis does best offensively. The Tigers are averaging 541.2 yards per game and 7.98 yards per play, including 250.4 rushing yards per game. Jaylin Carter is averaging 102.6 rushing yards per game and 7.33 yards per carry, giving Memphis a significant ground-game advantage against the weaker portion of the UAB defense.

There is also major revenge motivation after UAB stunned #22 Memphis 31-24 as a 23.5-point underdog last season. The Tigers haven't forgotten that loss, and this year's offense is operating at an elite level behind Marcus Stokes and his 14-3 TD/INT ratio. Memphis just produced 674 yards in a 59-8 destruction of Charlotte, while UAB quarterback Ryder Burton has only four touchdown passes against four interceptions.

The situation also fits, with UAB 0-6 ATS as an underdog of fewer than 20 points against teams winning at least 75% of their games. Memphis owns the offensive mismatch, quarterback advantage, home field, and a significant revenge incentive after last year's embarrassing upset.

THE PLAY: Jalon Daniels Rushing Yards Over 45.5 (-120)

Dallas has consistently struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks, allowing 54 rushing yards to Jaxson Dart, 69 yards in one half to Jayden Daniels, and 50 yards to Lamar Jackson over the first three weeks. The Cowboys have allowed the most quarterback rushing yards in the league, making this an excellent matchup for Jalon Daniels.

Daniels showed his willingness to run in his first NFL start, gaining 55 yards on eight carries against Green Bay. That shouldn't be surprising considering his college profile at Kansas, where designed runs and scrambles were a significant part of his game.

Tampa Bay enters as a sizable underdog, which should create plenty of dropbacks and scrambling opportunities for Daniels. After clearing this number in his first start, his rushing ability matches up perfectly with one of Dallas' biggest defensive weaknesses.