Teddy Covers
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Free Picks
THE PLAY: Ball State +36.5 (-106)
Take Ball State (#379)
My clients and I cashed a ‘right side’ winner backing Northwestern at home last Friday Night in their dominating blowout win against Penn State. Here’s an excerpt from that write-up:
“It’s pretty clear at this stage – Northwestern is a good notch or two better than the betting markets thought they would be. There’s nothing fraudulent about the Wildcats 100% ATS start. Their defense has been outstanding; senior transfer QB Aiden Chiles has avoided mistakes, and this long sluggish offense has both a solid OL and ‘playmaker’ talent. I’m not convinced in the slightest that the betting markets have caught up to how good David Braun’s team is this year; a value laden team after nearly a decade of mediocrity. Northwestern is opening their brand spankin’ new field on Friday Night in front of a national TV audience; a rare occasion where the Wildcats will legitimately have a strong homefield edge.”
That was then, this is now. Northwestern just enjoyed the biggest win in recent program history. Up next? A very winnable Big 10 road game at Michigan State. In between? This matchup against a MAC school; as ‘flat’ as a flat spot can be. The Wildcats are just 5-4 SU in their last nine vs the MAC (favored in all of them). The last time they played Ball State, they won by 5 as 19 point chalk. This is simply too many points, even against the bottom feeder Cardinals! Take Ball State.
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky (better known as Teddy Covers) moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2025; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the ‘sharp money’. In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.
This ‘Ride the Hot & Fade the Cold’ approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over nearly three decades. And those decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas enables Teddy to avoid many of the traps and pitfalls that befall ‘cappers. Experience DOES matter in this business. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.
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