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Free Picks
THE PLAY: Rutgers +2.5 (-105)
Iowa has won all four meetings (3-1 ATS) since Rutgers joined the Big Ten, but we're hoping those days are over. In last week's edition of The Football GoldSheet newsletter, we begged Kirk Ferentz to throw the ball 50 times against UMass to help Mark Gronowski and the Hawkeyes' passing attack get ready for Big Ten play. He didn't, and we certainly weren't impressed with what we saw. The South Dakota State transfer was just 16-of-24 for 179 yards through the air against the Minutemen. Through three games, Gronowski has 306 passing yards with a completion rate of 58.7-percent. That's not good enough if you're looking to lay points with Iowa on the road. Not only are oddsmakers asking the Hawkeyes to win, but they have to win by margin. That simply is not in their DNA. Rutgers has won its last two games by a combined score of 105-27. That Week 1 scare against Ohio doesn't look so bad anymore after the Bobcats beat West Virginia two weeks ago. The Scarlet Knights are a home 'dog with plenty of bite on Friday night. Play on Rutgers
THE PLAY: Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 (-110)
The Chargers won-and-covered both meetings last season with both games going over their respective total. This will be LA's first home game of the season. We certainly have some concerns about the Chargers' health, travel and rest disadvantage, but when it comes to the on-the-field product, they have simply performed better than Denver thus far. Already with two division wins under its belt, LA could put the AFC West in a chokehold with another win on Sunday afternoon. Sean Payton took the high road after the Broncos' controversial loss to the Colts, saying the officials made the correct call and it was his fault for using an aggressive field goal block on the final play of the game. Denver coulda-shoulda-woulda won that game, but Indianapolis still out-gained the Broncos by 149 yards. The Colts out-gained the Broncos by +1.1 yards per play and generated 26 first downs without ever sending the punter on the field. That has to be concerning for Coach Payton considering the Chargers' offense is built very similar to the Colts' offense with a mobile quarterback and a variety of receivers that are effective in both the short and deep passing game. Bo Nix hasn't looked settled into his sophomore season, and things are only going to get more confusing against Jim Harbaugh's defense. Ask Geno Smith and Patrick Mahomes about their experience against that unit over the first two weeks. Play on LA
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Consultant Bio
Founded in 1957, GoldSheet is the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter. The GoldSheet newsletter prides itself on providing in-depth analysis as early as possible to assist handicappers. When the dust settles on injury news, weather reports and line moves, the GoldSheet team offers its highly-respected LTS plays. Separate from the newsletter but never contrasting selections in the newsletter, these LTS selections have consistently kept GoldSheet atop WagerTalk's leaderboard since our debut in 2021. Simply put: These plays are the best of the best, and they are a big reason why GoldSheet has been a trusted source in the sports betting industry for seven decades.
- 2021 College Football Season: +85.5% Profit behind a 45-21-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
- 2021-22 NFL Season: +10.3% Profit behind a 33-28-1 Record
- 2021-22 College Basketball Season: +33.1% Profit behind a 53.6% Win Rate
- 2021-22 NBA Season: +52% Profit behind a 54.7% Win Rate
- 2022-23 NFL Season: +55.9% Profit behind a 49-28-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
To help you prepare for the 2025-26 NFL season, the GoldSheet team has compiled team previews for all 32 squads that will be updated through out the summer. Check out some of our team previews on the WagerTalk News site:
- Minnesota Vikings
- Detroit Lions
- Green Bay Packers
- Chicago Bears
- New York Giants
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Washington Commanders
- Dallas Cowboys
