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Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers

Hot Streaks

NFL Season Wins: 103-52 (66%) L24 Years, 17-4 (81%) 5% Big Tickets

All Plays 4% or Higher: 26-14 (65%) +42 Units Since March

NFL Week 1: 30-11 (73%) L10 Years! 8-2 (80%) Week 1 5% Big Tickets

College Football: 6-0 (100%) 5% Big Tickets Since 2023

All 5% Big Tickets All Sports: 99-68 (59%) Since 2021 +110 Units

NBA: #1 at Wagertalk since 2022! 431-334 +224.1 Units

Last updated Jul 3, 10:53 AM EDT

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5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins Release

Teddy nailed his only 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins release last year, cashing with New Orleans UNDER 7.5 Wins in a ‘crash and burn’ season for the Saints.  This isn’t new or different!  Teddy is 17-4 (81%) with his 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Win releases since he started his annual report in 2001 -- he’s got a long-term PROVEN track record of success, and his write-ups are second to none, primed to help you make $$$ all year. Get it now!

*This 5% future is included in Teddy's NFL Season Win Report
**NFL Season Win Report is included in his NFL Season Pass 

30-11 (73%) Week 1! BLOWOUT only $5

The results do not lie. Over the last ten seasons, Teddy is 30-11 (73%) counting every Week 1 play, every year, a PROVEN track record of dominance from a ‘capper who does his NFL homework throughout the offseason!  Get onboard with this 4% Week 1 B-L-O-W-O-U-T for only $5; a bargain priced ‘right side’ winner just waiting for kickoff!  Don’t wait – get onboard right here, right now, BEFORE the line starts to move!

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WagerTalk Specials

Teddy Covers 2025 NFL Season Wins Report!

Teddy's 25th NFL Season Wins Report is Here!

Teddy Covers released his first NFL Season Wins Report in 2001. Now entering its 25th season, his record stands at 103-52-3 (66%), including an outstanding 17-4 (81%) on his 5% Big Ticket Reports—an extended track record of significantly profitable results.

This year's report highlights ‘Bet-On’ and ‘Bet-Against’ squads that savvy bettors can capitalize on starting Week 1 of the regular season.

  • Part 1 of the 2025 NFL Season Wins Report is now locked in and loaded!
  • Part 2 will follow after Week 2 of the preseason
  • The report will be regularly updated to reflect personnel changes and line moves, right through to Week 1

Get It FREE with Teddy’s Full NFL Season Pass

👉🏻 Or purchase the full report on its own for just $199.

Don’t miss out—get on board and start winning with Teddy this NFL season!

4th of July Blowout - 7-Day All Access or Flex for $69!

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Choose your go-to expert or mix it up daily with Flex Access — your picks, your way. One Week. Total Freedom. Explosive Value!

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Free Picks

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
CFB
(147) Wyoming at (148) Akron
7:00pm EDT - Aug 28/2025

THE PLAY: Total Over 49.5 (-110)

Take Wyoming – Akron OVER (#147-148)

Wyoming wants to play bully ball against lesser squads like the Zips. The Cowboys are strong in the trenches and loaded with veterans on offense.  QB Kaden Anderson has his top three receiving targets back.  Akron has an undersized front seven; Wyoming is likely to be in good ‘down and distance’ situations all game, creating big play opportunities throwing over the top after Akron commits to stopping the run. But Joe Moorhead is an elite offensive mind; Wyoming has a completely rebuilt secondary playing on the road thousands of miles from home in Week 1.  The Zips also have a QB in Ben Finley returning for his second season in this offense, after playing at NC State and Cal earlier in his career.  I’m expecting BOTH squads to have some offensive success here, putting TD’s on the board, not FG’s.  Take the OVER.

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
NFL
(465) Las Vegas Raiders at (466) New England Patriots
1:00pm EDT - Sep 7/2025

THE PLAY: Las Vegas Raiders +3.0 (-110)

3% Take Las Vegas (#465)

The Patriots went 4-13 last year, with one of those four wins coming in Week 18 against a Bills team resting starters.  They won a grand total of ONE game ‘comfortably’ all year, by more than a single score.  Yes, New England brought in a new coach and went on a spending spree in free agency.  But make no mistake about it – the Pats are NOT a team I’m comfortable laying points with in Week 1; a game they’ll need to win by more than a field goal to cash winning bets.  

It’s surely worth noting that New England wasn’t favored in ANY games last year and went 1-4 SU as a favorite in 2023, not a team we can trust to win by margin.  New head coach Mike Vrabel, dating back to his tenure with the Titans?  1-4 SU in his last five tries as chalk!  Both the Pats and Vrabel have consistently been LOSING games like this in SU fashion…..

Meanwhile, the Raiders upgraded every bit as much as New England did this past offseason – not just the coach and the quarterback.  That said, new QB Geno Smith went 7-1 SU on the highway as the starting quarterback for Seattle last year, including a hard fought OT win right here in Foxboro.  And Pete Carroll is 4-1 SU in his last five Week 1’s, with only two losses by more than a field goal in his last 11 Week 1 tries; a coach who I trust to have his team ready.  Live dog here!  Take the Raiders.

Line Parameter: 3% at +3 or higher, 2% at +2.5 or lower

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
NFL
Washington Commanders NFL Season Wins
1:00pm EDT - Sep 7/2025

THE PLAY: 3% Take the Washington Commanders UNDER 9.5 Wins

3% Take the Washington Commanders UNDER 9.5 Wins (+105 at DraftKings, +100 at Westgate Superbook and BetMGM, -110/-115 widely available)

Washington was a breakout team in 2024 under first year head coach Dan Quinn and rookie QB Jaylen Daniels. They came on like a freight train down the stretch, winning their last five regular season games and a pair of playoff games before losing to Philly in the NFC Championship Game.  Many are expecting a repeat performance in 2025. I am not.

Let me start with these two factors.  First, the Commanders faced these quarterbacks down the stretch last year, from Week 12 on: Cooper Rush, Will Levis, Jake Haener and Spencer Rattler, Kenny Pickett, rookie Micheal Penix and Trey Lance.  The ONLY one of those QB’s expected to start in 2025 is Penix.  Based on MY power ratings for their opponent the week the game was played, Washington faced the single EASIEST schedule in the entire NFL last year.  That’s not likely to repeat.

Second, the Commanders went 20-23 on fourth downs last year, an 87% conversion rate on the most important plays in the game.  That’s ‘off the charts’ good.  Two teams this century have had higher conversion rates (the 2016 Cowboys and 2018 Chargers), but neither of those squads had more than ten attempts, full season. 24% of their points came on drives that included a successful fourth down conversion, Top 5 this century.  I expect significant regression.

Just from ‘opposing QB injuries luck’ and ‘fourth down conversion luck’, we can expect Washington to come back to earth in 2025.  I should note some schedule disadvantages here.  The Commanders face an NFL high three teams off a bye, and they play two ‘short week’ road games, leaving them with a ‘Bottom Five’ rest disadvantage. For some teams that might not matter quite so much.  But it’s also worth noting that the Commanders enter the season as the single OLDEST team in the NFL, and it’s not even close.

The Ron Rivera era didn’t leave much quality roster depth, to put it mildly.  Last year, the Commanders filled the gaps with veterans on short term deals; guys like Bobby Wagner, Dante Fowler, Zack Ertz and Andrew Wylie; all on the wrong side of 30.  This offseason, they brought in Laremy Tunsil, Jonathan Jones, Deebo Samuel and Will Harris, all approaching or over 30 years old.  I’m expecting injuries and attrition. 

The Commanders went from 4-13 in 2023 to 12-5 last year.  Modern NFL history tells us that teams that make a huge leap one year are primed to come back to earth the following season.  We can confidently expect that regression from Dan Quinn’s squad in 2025.  Take the Commanders Season Wins UNDER.

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Last 20

Date
Sport
Pick
Result
Jul 03
MLB
3% – (919) Chicago White Sox at (920) Los Angeles Dodgers Total Over 9.0 (-108) Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 02
MLB
3% – (979) Chicago White Sox at (980) Los Angeles Dodgers Total Over 9.0 (-118) Action
(Analysis)
Push
Jul 01
MLB
2% – (921) Cincinnati Reds at (922) Boston Red Sox Total Over 10.0 (-108) Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 01
MLB
3% – Milwaukee Brewers +108 F Peralta (RHP), C Holmes (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
No Play
Jun 30
MLB
2% – Arizona Diamondbacks +118 R Nelson (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 30
MLB
4% – (959) Athletics at (960) Tampa Bay Rays 1H Total Under 4.0 (-110) J Lopez (LHP), D Rasmussen (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 29
MLB
3% – Los Angeles Dodgers -110 Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 29
MLB
2% – (917) Minnesota Twins at (918) Detroit Tigers Total Over 7.5 (+102) Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 28
MLB
3% – Toronto Blue Jays -116 Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 28
MLB
2% – Houston Astros -113 C Rea (RHP), L Mccullers Jr (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 25
MLB
3% – (909) Los Angeles Dodgers at (910) Colorado Rockies Total Over 11.0 (-108) Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 24
MLB
2% – Seattle Mariners -102 L Castillo (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 24
MLB
4% – Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-175) Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 23
MLB
3% – Seattle Mariners -124 B Woo (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 22
MLB
3% – Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-152) Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 22
NBA
5% – Indiana Pacers +7.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 21
MLB
3% – 1H Athletics -105 L Ortiz (RHP), M Spence (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 20
MLB
3% – Houston Astros -157 H Brown (RHP), Y Kikuchi (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 19
NBA
3% – Indiana Pacers +6.5 (-115)
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 19
MLB
2% – Colorado Rockies +142 Action
(Analysis)
Loss
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Consultant Bio

Ted Sevransky (better known as Teddy Covers) moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries. 

Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2025; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the ‘sharp money’.  In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate.  Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.

This ‘Ride the Hot & Fade the Cold’ approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over nearly three decades.  And those decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas enables Teddy to avoid many of the traps and pitfalls that befall ‘cappers.  Experience DOES matter in this business.  Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.

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