Nick Borrman

THE PLAY: CF Montreal +0.5 (-120)

MLS

(209867) Los Angeles FC at (209868) CF Montreal

Montreal looks like a team that you would want nothing to do with, and that means to the public eye, they are undervalued and now is the time to buy.

Despite sitting dead last in the East, Montreal is allowing only 1.23 xGA per match this season, which actually ranks in the top-10 in the league.  They have really just struggled offensively and mainly they just haven't been scoring goals compared to their chances.  They have scored a total of just eight goals, but on 15.1 xG, the 2nd biggest underperformance in the league.  Generally speaking, they should see positive regression at some point.

They are coming off a 1-6 home loss to Toronto, another reason to want to avoid them, but a 22' minute red card was their undoing and they still managed 1.75 xG despite playing with 10 men.

LAFC are on a 7-match unbeaten run, but they have only one win away from home this season.  This is also a full coast to coast road trip which is generally a great fade as well.

On the surface, this is a zig, but I think the value is on the zag.

TAKE MONTREAL +0.5 (Double Chance Win or Draw)

Line Parameter: 3% to -130, 2.5% to -140.  Shop both the +0.5 handicap and the Double Chance for the best price

THE PLAY: Andrew Novak Top-20 Finish (+200)

Charles Schwab Challenge

Top-20 Finish Including Ties DraftKings

Novak didn't work out for us last week but I'm willing to jump back on his again this week.  Prior to his missed cut at the PGA, Novak had gone T17-Win-2nd-T3 in his four previous start.  Missing the cut at a major can happen.  A ton of big names missed and even Rory had to battle just to back the weekend.  It can happen.  The good news is that it gave him two extra days rest and time to prepare/travel to Texas.  I'm of full belief he returns right back to form.

TAKE ANDREW NOVAK TOP-20 INCLUDING TIES