Teddy Covers
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5% Big Ticket NBA! 83% Full Season, 68% L5 Years!
Teddy’s strongest plays in the NBA – his 5% Big Ticket Reports – are 5-1 (83%) full season! Teddy doesn’t release many of these top rated plays, but when he does, they win: 40-19 (68%) since 2021. Teddy’s NBA is HOT NOW: 6-2 (75%) with his last eight; 11-4 (73%) over the past two weeks. Do Not Miss Teddy’s NBA 5% Big Ticket tonight!
Hot Streaks
All Sports: 8-3 (73%) L4 Days +14.9 Units
MLB: 19-8 (70%) +29.1 Units Since September 2025
NBA: 11-4 (73%) Heater L2 Weeks +22.3 Units
NBA Since 2022: 511-417 +192.9 Units!
March Madness: 43-26 (62%) +42.5 Units L3 Tourneys 2024-25-26
NBA 5% Big Tickets: 5-1 (83%) YTD! 40-19 (68%) Since 2021
Last updated Apr 2, 12:07 AM EDT
All Plays
5% Big Ticket NBA! 83% Full Season, 68% L5 Years!
Teddy’s strongest plays in the NBA – his 5% Big Ticket Reports – are 5-1 (83%) full season! Teddy doesn’t release many of these top rated plays, but when he does, they win: 40-19 (68%) since 2021. Teddy’s NBA is HOT NOW: 6-2 (75%) with his last eight; 11-4 (73%) over the past two weeks. Do Not Miss Teddy’s NBA 5% Big Ticket tonight!
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Free Picks
THE PLAY: Total Under 7.5 (-107) David Peterson (LHP), Robbie Ray (LHP) Must Start
Take New York - San Francisco UNDER (#953-954) (listed pitchers)
The 'Double Gamer' Free Play video below offers my betting opinion for the Mets - Giants and the Braves -Diamondbacks, the only two games on tap for Thursday Night in MLB action. Note that I'm only listing pitchers here because if either guy gets scratched, this total is likely to be adjusted upwards, potentially to 8 or higher. I still like the Under with a different starting pitching matchup, but listing pitchers here ensures that we won't get the worst of the number. Bottom line: neither team is hitting with any level of consistency, both squads struggling to put together quality at bats in early season play. Unders begat more Unders -- cold lineups stay cold until proven otherwise; strong pitching leads to rested and effective bullpens. Expect another UNDER tonight. Take the UNDER.
THE PLAY: Cleveland Cavaliers -10.0 (-110)
2% Take Cleveland (#539)
The Warriors pulled off a ‘miracle’ cover last night at home against San Antonio, scoring the final eight points of a blowout loss to only lose by 14 as 14.5/15 point underdogs. That game marked their second consecutive double digit defeat. I don’t expect that to be their last double digit loss this season. I’ve been ‘cutting and pasting’ these two quotes from the Warriors in every recent ‘anti-Golden State’ write-up, because they speak volumes about how Steve Kerr’s squad is approaching the final few weeks of the regular season:
“Forward Gui Santos: “We know it doesn't matter if we win 13 games or we lose 13 games. We're going to be playing [in the play-in].” Head Coach Steve Kerr: “We've had our eyes on six (seed) for a while. That's out of the question now. We're not getting there. If we can string together some wins, try to get to eighth, that'd be ideal. Get two cracks at [getting in the playoffs]. But we're not getting to seven. We know that…Can we prepare ourselves for the play-in. We have to be prepared for when we get guys back.” Those are not ‘balls to the wall, immediate urgency’ quotes; Golden State doesn’t have much of an ‘A’ game right now; an easy team to fade.”
The Warriors are on the second of back-2-backs here. Each of their last five losses has come by 14 points or more – it’s not like this team is biting kneecaps to stay competitive in games. They’re facing a Cavs squad coming off a bad loss in LA, primed for redemption here. And with Cleveland’s recent struggles covering pointspreads (3-9-1 ATS L13 games), it’s not like the Cavs have much of a betting bandwagon these days; not a team we’re laying a late season ‘ATS tax’ with tonight. Road chalk worth laying. Take the Cavaliers.
Line Parameter: 2% at -10 or lower, 1.5% at -10.5 or higher
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky (better known as Teddy Covers) moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2025; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the ‘sharp money’. In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.
This ‘Ride the Hot & Fade the Cold’ approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over nearly three decades. And those decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas enables Teddy to avoid many of the traps and pitfalls that befall ‘cappers. Experience DOES matter in this business. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.
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