Tokyo Brandon
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Hot Streaks
🥇 #1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2021 (+256 units)
🥇 #1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2024 (+180 units)
🥇 #1 WagerTalk MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
🥇 #1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2022 (+125 units)
🥇 #1 WagerTalk 5% MAX bet profit L365d (+64 units)
💵 #4 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2025 (+48 units)
Last updated May 10, 5:56 AM EDT
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ALL-BASEBALL ALL-ACCESS PASS - ALL LEAGUES - HUGE DISCOUNT!
Five years. One of the most consistent records in the business.
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers over the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons. This is not a hot streak. This is a track record.
The numbers:
#1 MLB Profit 2024 (+145 units) #1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u) #1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u) #1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u) #4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
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Free Picks
THE PLAY: Tampa Bay Rays 117 Action
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from Tokyo Brandon for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every Tokyo Brandon release. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lines move.
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👉 X: @Tokyo Brandon
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TBR @ TOR
Both starters are in strong current form, but Rasmussen gets a small run-prevention edge by WHIP and walk rate. Gausman gets the home/innings edge. Tampa Bay has the better full-team pitching profile and the better recent head-to-head form, while Toronto gets the venue and home-bottom-9 edge. Current game data shows Tampa Bay at 26-13 with a 12-9 away record, Toronto at 18-22 with a 12-9 home record, and the listed market at TBR +119 / TOR -143 with a 7.5 total.
Toronto’s bats get a small deduction for the return-home flat spot, but the deduction is not large because Toronto was already home against LAA on May 8-10 before this game. Tampa Bay is traveling from Boston to Toronto, so a small travel drag is applied to TBR as well. Current weather in Toronto is cool, around 54°F near first pitch, but Rogers Centre roof conditions reduce outdoor weather impact.
Rasmussen faced Toronto on May 5 and allowed 3 runs on 7 hits over 6.0 innings with 5 strikeouts. Gausman faced Tampa Bay the same day and allowed 2 runs over 6.0 innings. That recent same-opponent start keeps both starter ER projections close to 2.0-2.4.
Tokyo’s Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | Rank | OPS |
|---|---|---|
TBR | 11/30 | .821 |
TOR | 19/30 | .724 |
Curved 1-30 Model Rankings
Category | TBR | TOR |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA+WHIP rank, 14+ IP, 1 best | Drew Rasmussen: 8/30 | Kevin Gausman: 10/30 |
Bullpen last 10 days ERA+WHIP rank, 1 best | 7/30 | 18/30 |
Lineup run production last 10 days, runs + wOBA, 1 best | 9/30 | 16/30 |
Final Card
Best Reads | Model Side |
|---|---|
Moneyline edge | TBR + |
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Consultant Bio
Don't look at streaks, look at seasons... #1 all sports profit at Wager Talk 3 of the last 5 years.
You won't see Brandon talking about how he did in 7 or 3 days, he talks about how he does in seasons. #1 at Wager Talk 3 of the last 5 years in profit. Brandon scouted Japanese baseball for the Pacific Rim Scouting Department of a Major League Baseball team for ten years and is based in Tokyo, Japan. Brandon is Wager Talk's #1 all-sports profit capper in 2021 (+256 units), 2022 (+127 units) and 2024 (+180 units). He now uses his mathematical probabilities and scouting analyses to handicap sports including Japanese baseball, Korean baseball, Asian basketball and MLB.
Brandon has lived in Japan since 1992 and is originally from Phoenix, Arizona. Brandon graduated from The University of Arizona with a BA degree in Japanese Studies in 1992.
** Actual client recommendations: ( Click here for twitter feed @Tokyo_Brandon )
- By far the best baseball handicapper. Isolates niche mlb props and destroys Asian markets. Personally followed him for years
- Said it before and saying it again, TB is the baseball goat
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