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Kevin Dolan

Kevin Dolan

(501) Dallas Mavericks at (502) Boston Celtics

Event:
(501) Dallas Mavericks at (502) Boston Celtics
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
June 6, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-110
Play:
5% – (501) Dallas Mavericks at (502) Boston Celtics Total Over 214.5 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

We're taking Over 214.5 points on Thursday in the NBA Finals Game 1 matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Boston Celtics.

Full Breakdown

The two best teams in the NBA lock horns on Thursday night and we're expecting a terrific matchup over in Boston for Game 1.

The TD Garden will no doubt be in electric mood after well over a week's wait since the Celtics' sweep of Indiana in the last round. Dallas will hope to spoil that atmosphere by being the defensive juggernaut they've been throughout the playoffs, holding teams to less than 100 total points in four contests already this postseason.

However, they did struggle to contain this Celtics team the last time they met in Boston back in March, with Porzingis, Tatum, and Brown combining for 81 points in that game, and the Celtics putting up 138 total points off the back of some solid production from their bench.

In players like Derrick White also, Boston has additional threats that the Mavericks won't fully be able to contain here, and we believe there's value on the Over in this game as a result.

Dallas have their own scoring threats obviously in the form of #1 points leader this season Luka Doncic who put up 37 points in that previous matchup against Boston, with the Mavericks averaging a red-hot 42.2% from outside the perimeter across their last three starts in the playoffs as well.

Boston's defensive efficiency numbers haven't been as good in the postseason as they were during the regular season, with Dallas' defense facing their most serious offensive test of the playoffs so far as well against this #1 ranked Boston Celtics team in both offensive efficiency and three point shooting percentage this season.

We're expecting both teams to get some solid offensive production in Game 1 and for this game to go Over the total on Thursday as a result.

PLAY: OVER 214.5 (-110)

*Line good to 216.5, 217 > [No play]

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