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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(909) Washington Nationals at (910) Atlanta Braves

Event:
(909) Washington Nationals at (910) Atlanta Braves
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
May 29, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-115
Play:
5% – (909) Washington Nationals at (910) Atlanta Braves Total Under 8.5 (-115) M Gore (LHP), S Schwellenbach (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

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https://wt.buzz/db

=======================================

7:20 PM ET -- MLB 

909 Washington Nationals    
910 Atlanta Braves

Play: UNDER 8.5 -115

List Pitchers: Gore & Schwellenbach          

Bet Size: 5%

Line Parameters:
5% play at 8.5 or better
4% play at 8
3% play at 7.5
2% play at 7

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

The UNDER is 13-2 since April 20th when the Braves face a starting pitcher that is striking out an average of at least 5 batters per start this season.

The UNDER is 7-0 this season when the Braves are at home with the total set at 8 or 8.5.

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