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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(917) Cleveland Guardians at (918) Texas Rangers

Event:
(917) Cleveland Guardians at (918) Texas Rangers
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
May 13, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-105
Play:
4% – Cleveland Guardians -105 T Bibee (RHP), M Lorenzen (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

8:05 PM ET -- MLB 

917 Cleveland Guardians  
918 Texas Rangers

Play: 917 CLEVELAND -105

List Pitchers: Bibee & Lorenzen  

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at -110 or better
3% play at -111 to -120
2% play at -121 to -125

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play ON road teams coming off a win by at least 6 runs over a division rival if their win percentage is between 54% and 62% and they're facing an opponent with a winning record.  27-9 (75%) since the 2021 season.  Average line: +104.6... 53.5% ROI

PERSONAL NOTE:

Texas managed a grand total of SIX (6) runs in a 3-game series in Colorado.  If you can't score runs at Coors Field, you're clearly in an offensive slump.  

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