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Marco D'Angelo

Marco D'Angelo

(529) Minnesota Timberwolves at (530) Denver Nuggets

Event:
(529) Minnesota Timberwolves at (530) Denver Nuggets
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
May 4, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
54
Play:
4% – Denver Nuggets +54
Result:
Loss
Analysis

4% (530) DENVER ML -185 RISK 4 UNITS to WIN 2.16 UNITS

Line good to -205



Going to make this a Money Line wager even though my numbers have them winning by more than spread. Personally I thought this Money Line should have been higher as Denver was almost unbeatable at Home this year going 36-8 SU. The market has over reacted to the fact that the Denver even they beat the Lakers in 5 Games had several close games. The Public thinks that if Lakers could hang with Denver surely Minnesota will too. That’s a mistake as this arena will be rocking in Game 1 on a Saturday Night. Both teams are well rested having ending their series on Sunday and Monday. Jamal Murray wasn’t 100% on Monday yet played 40 mins and scored 32 points. With the extra rest he should be even better. My numbers have DENVER winning by 6-8 points..

KEY STAT: DENVER is 14-4 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season


TAKE DENVER ML as my 4% NBA BEST BET 

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