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Marco D'Angelo

Marco D'Angelo

(529) Dallas Mavericks at (530) Utah Jazz

Event:
(529) Dallas Mavericks at (530) Utah Jazz
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
March 25, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – Utah Jazz +8.5 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

3% (530) UTAH +8.5

Line good to +8



Utah returns home from a Road Trip and usually I like to fade the Home team in that first game back at home. Tonight I am not because of two factors as Utah just lost to Dallas in Dallas 4 days ago. Utah also gets to play spoiler as Dallas is in a Dogfight with 3 teams trying to get the 6th seed and avoid having to play in the Play in round. With that said Vegas is making you pay a premium if you want to play Dallas because they are in a must win situation and the public knows that. All that does is give us line value betting against them. Utah has lost 5 games in a Row but let’s be honest they lost to Minnesota (twice) Oklahoma City and Dallas all are Playoff teams. The other loss was to Houston who is Red Hot and just 1 game out of the Playoffs. Three of the losses were on the road so the 5 game losing streak isn’t as bad as it looks. Utah is 22-12 ATS at home this year. My numbers have this as a 1-3 point game either way so I’m grabbing the points.

KEY STAT: UTAH is 16-3 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season

KEY STAT: UTAH is 25-11 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons

KEY STAT: DALLAS is 2-11 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

TAKE UTAH as my 3% NBA BEST BET

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