Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Picks and Odds | October 29, 2026
Somebody’s losing streak ends tonight. Two winless teams meet at Smoothie King Center on October 29, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET, and this Kings vs Pelicans prediction comes down to which 0-4 club has the more fixable problem. Sacramento’s defense has been gashed for 125.5 points per game, while New Orleans has scored plenty but can’t close out games.
The Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back after a 104-91 loss to Denver, and the Kings are banged up across the frontcourt. Money has poured in on the under as the total slides lower. Before you lock in your NBA predictions, here’s a complete breakdown of the odds, line movement, matchups, and best bets.
Kings vs Pelicans Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 (-115)
- Moneyline Pick: New Orleans Pelicans
- Total Pick: Under 236.5 (-108)
- Projected Final Score: Pelicans 119, Kings 111
Odds and Line Movement for Sacramento vs New Orleans
The spread opened at New Orleans -5.5 and hasn’t budged, with only minor juice adjustments. The total has been more active, bouncing between 237.5 and 238.5 before dropping to 236.5, with the majority of money backing the under. Follow every shift with our live odds.
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings | +5.5 (-105) | Over 237.5 (-115) |
| New Orleans Pelicans | -5.5 (-115) | Under 237.5 (-105) |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings | +5.5 (-105) | Over 236.5 (-112) |
| New Orleans Pelicans | -5.5 (-115) | Under 236.5 (-108) |
Line Movement – Spread
| Date | Sacramento | New Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| 10/29 | +5.5 (-105) | -5.5 (-115) |
| 10/28 | +5.5 (-108) | -5.5 (-112) |
| 10/28 | +5.5 (-105) | -5.5 (-115) |
Line Movement – Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10/29 | 236.5 (-112) | 236.5 (-108) |
| 10/29 | 237.5 (-110) | 237.5 (-110) |
| 10/28 | 238.5 (-110) | 238.5 (-110) |
| 10/28 | 238.5 (-115) | 238.5 (-105) |
| 10/28 | 237.5 (-115) | 237.5 (-105) |
| 10/28 | 238.5 (-115) | 238.5 (-105) |
| 10/28 | 237.5 (-115) | 237.5 (-105) |
Key Matchups and Handicap: Kings vs Pelicans
Both teams enter this Western Conference matchup at 0-4, searching for their first win of the 2026-27 season. Sacramento’s biggest issue has been defense.
The Kings are allowing 125.5 points per game while scoring just 107.8, a massive scoring differential. Sacramento is coming off a 130-103 loss to San Antonio on October 27, following defeats to Memphis, Portland, and the Los Angeles Clippers.
Zach LaVine has carried the Kings’ offense, averaging 27.3 points per game on 52.2 percent shooting. Domantas Sabonis has been productive inside with 16.5 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game, giving Sacramento a reliable presence in the paint. As a team, though, the Kings are shooting just 45 percent while averaging 22.8 assists and 41.5 rebounds.
New Orleans has the same record but a much more productive offense, averaging 124.7 points per game on 48 percent shooting. Zion Williamson leads the Pelicans with 21.8 points per game, rookie Derik Queen adds 9.3 rebounds, and Dejounte Murray is averaging six assists.
The Pelicans also hold clear advantages in steals (11.7 to 6.8), blocks (5.3 to 2.5), and rebounding (45.3 to 41.5). New Orleans is coming off a 104-91 loss to Denver on October 28, after scoring 135 points against the Nuggets in an earlier overtime defeat.
Injuries are a major concern for Sacramento. Keegan Murray is sidelined with an ankle injury, Dylan Cardwell is dealing with a calf injury, Maxime Raynaud is out with a knee injury, and Ben Simmons is unavailable with an Achilles injury. Those absences cut into Sacramento’s defensive versatility and frontcourt depth. New Orleans will be without center Yves Missi due to a knee injury, and Jordan Poole is questionable with an ankle issue, which could affect the Pelicans’ perimeter scoring.
The Pelicans are playing on consecutive nights, so fatigue could slow the pace. Even so, Sacramento’s defensive struggles remain the bigger concern. New Orleans’ edges in steals, blocks, and rebounding should allow it to control this game and finally get into the win column.
Betting Trends: SAC vs NOP
- The Kings are 0-4 straight up to start the season.
- The Pelicans are 0-4 straight up to start the season.
- Sacramento is allowing 125.5 points per game while scoring 107.8.
- New Orleans is averaging 124.7 points per game on 48 percent shooting.
- The Kings are shooting 45 percent as a team.
- New Orleans leads in steals (11.7 to 6.8), blocks (5.3 to 2.5), and rebounds (45.3 to 41.5).
- Sacramento lost to San Antonio 130-103 in its last game.
- The majority of money on the total has backed the under.
Key Injuries and Notes: SAC vs NOP
- Sacramento: Keegan Murray (ankle) is out.
- Sacramento: Dylan Cardwell is dealing with a calf injury.
- Sacramento: Maxime Raynaud (knee) is out.
- Sacramento: Ben Simmons (Achilles) is out.
- Sacramento: Zach LaVine is averaging 27.3 points per game on 52.2 percent shooting.
- Sacramento: Domantas Sabonis is averaging 16.5 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game.
- New Orleans: C Yves Missi (knee) is out.
- New Orleans: Jordan Poole (ankle) is questionable.
- New Orleans: Zion Williamson is averaging 21.8 points per game.
- New Orleans: The Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back.
ATS and Total Picks for Kings vs Pelicans
ATS Pick: The spread has held steady at 5.5, and New Orleans is the right side. The Pelicans have a much stronger offense, along with clear edges in steals, blocks, and rebounding. Sacramento is allowing 125.5 points per game and is missing several frontcourt pieces, which makes slowing down Williamson and Queen even harder. Fatigue is a concern for New Orleans, but Sacramento’s defensive issues are the bigger problem. Take the Pelicans -5.5.
Total Pick: The total has dropped from a high of 238.5 to 236.5, and the under still holds value. Both teams have shown offensive inconsistency, Sacramento is shooting just 45 percent, and injuries are limiting rotations on both sides. New Orleans playing on the second night of a back-to-back should also slow the pace, and Poole’s questionable status could take a scorer off the floor. Take the under 236.5.
Sacramento vs New Orleans Best Bets
- Best Bet: New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 (-115)
- Total: Under 236.5 (-108)
Final Score Prediction for Kings vs Pelicans
New Orleans should finally break into the win column behind Williamson and its advantages on the glass and in the passing lanes, pulling away from a short-handed Sacramento team that can’t get stops.
- Final Score Prediction: Pelicans 119, Kings 111
- Spread Result: Pelicans cover -5.5
- Total Result: Under 236.5
