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NBA Player Props Predictions, Prop Picks and NBA Best Bets Today – 11/6/23

Dallas Mavericks Luka Doncic attempts to hit NBA Player Props

NBA Player Prop Picks For 11/6/23 – Ultimate NBA Player Prop Betting Picks

Andy Lang provides his NBA player prop predictions and picks for Monday, November 6 with odds provided by DraftKings. Get his best NBA player props before tip off!

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NBA Player Prop Predictions 1: DeMar DeRozan

Chicago Bulls small forward DeMar DeRozan is averaging 21.4 points but only 4.3 assists per game through the first seven games of the 2023-24 campaign.

What’s interesting is he has recorded far less assists at home with only 2, 3 & 4 compared to 6, 7, 4 and 4 on the road.

This is a trend that dates back to last season, clearing this total in 12 of 39 home games for a 31% success rate compared to 21 of 41 on the road for a 51% success rate.

DeRozan has also done more damage scoring at home this season where he averages 25.7 points through three games. Last season against the Utah Jazz, DeRozan stuffed the stat sheet in both categories with 26 & 35 points and 6 & 7 assists.

However, the Jazz rank 20th in assists allowed thus far while allowing the 5th most points in the league and 5th most points in the paint.

DerRozan obviously prefers to put on a show with his scoring in home games where he hasn’t eclipsed four assists in any game. The number seems one too high here and that’s why I’m perfectly fine with the extra juice attached to this play at -140 odds.

The NBA Prop Pick: DeMar DeRozan UNDER 5.5 Assists (-140 DraftKings)

NBA Player Prop Predictions 2: Luka Doncic UNDER 9.5 Rebounds (-140) DK

Dallas Mavericks point guard Luka Doncic is averaging nearly a triple double with 32 points, 10.2 rebounds and 9.3 assists per game through his first six games of the 2023-24 regular season.

However, Doncic has struggled to keep up with those rebounding numbers in back-to-back games in the past as he cleared this line of 9.5 only once in 7 tries last season with an average of only 6.3 boards per game.

He also struggled on the glass against a very active Orlando Magic team where Doncic averaged only 4.5 rebounds on 9.5 rebound chances per game.

We should see this trend continue this season as the Magic have allowed the 7th fewest rebounds per game this season while ranking 6th in offensive rebounds.

Even without Wendell Carter Jr in the mix, the Magic have young active players who can snag rebounds. Doncic also saw a decrease in rebounds in road games last season where he averaged only 8 rebounds while clearing this total in only 9 of 29 games.

Orlando ranks 9th in rebounds allowed to opposing point guards with only 5.91 per game. Combine all of these factors and we have the perfect recipe for an under 9.5 rebounds for Doncic tonight in Orlando.

NBA Tipoff Show | NBA Betting Preview for November 6

Join Joe Raineri and a rotating panel of guests for the NBA Tipoff Show as we break down the daily NBA slate from a betting perspective every weekday discussing the NBA betting slate! Learn how to bet on the NBA with WagerTalk’s #1 NBA handicapper in 2022-23 Skee Profit and Kelly Stewart as they dive into the must-ask questions when it comes to betting on the NBA! Also, take advantage of NBA picks free today at WagerTalk!

NBA Player Props

Daily NBA Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo

Read up on betting previews on daily NBA games from handicappers here at WagerTalk and over at Sportsmemo. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. See our previews for today’s games now! WagerTalk NBA Game Previews Sportsmemo NBA Game Previews Also, have you ever considered betting on college basketball?  It’s exciting – find free College Basketball Predictions here.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the NBA moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all of Monday’s NBA games and monitor your NBA player prop betting picks.


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