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Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Tuesday, May 12

Home Run Prop Picks May 12, 2026 - Spencer Steer

The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we’re ready to pick more winners on Thursday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk.

Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets today with free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Tuesday, May 12!

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #1: Spencer Steer (CIN) +470

Reds Outfielder Spencer Steer isn’t the most powerful home run hitter on the board today, but he’s been pretty consistent as of late hitting .270 this month with a hit in nine of ten games including two home runs as we’ll look for him to hit his home run prop tonight.

They’ll host Miles Mikolas and the Nationals with the Washington starter already giving up nine home runs in just 32.2 innings pitched.

Against Mikolas all-time Steer is 7-16 with a home run with Mikolas also allowing a .541 slugging percentage to right handed hitters as well.

Historically, Mikolas is prone to giving up the long ball with 25 or more home runs given up in each of his last four seasons as a member of the Cardinals.

Steer has matched that consistency in the hitting department with 20 or more home runs in each of his last three seasons.

It’s worth noting that Mikolas hasn’t pitched more than 5.1 innings in any start this season, but not to worry as the Washington bullpen has given up the second most home runs to opposing hitters of any bullpen in the MLB this season.

With valuable odds of +470 for a player who just hit a home run in his last game, let’s take Spencer Steer to hit his home run prop tonight as the Reds host the Nationals at the Great American Ballpark.

MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Brandon Lowe (PIT) +430

After a six-game road trip the Pirates head home to host the Rockies who send Michael Lorenzen to the mound.

The Rockies starter has been struggling this season allowing seven home runs in 39 innings pitched to go along with a 6.92 ERA.

We’re going to take a look at Brandon Lowe to hit his home run prop tonight already smashing 10 on the season including two this month.

He’s also slugging .607 this month and against Lorenzen all-time is 2-8 with a double and a home run. Lowe is a lefty and Lorenzen has had his troubles against specifically lefties this season allowing six of his seven home runs to them while allowing them to hit .427 to go along with a .793 slugging percentage.

In comparison he has allowed righties to hit .293 and allowing a .370 slugging percentage on the season. Lorenzen didn’t give up many home runs early in his career as a member of the Reds, but those times have changed giving up an average of 21 home runs a season across his last three.

Lowe has eight of his ten home runs against righties this season while slugging .660 against them so let’s take Lowe to hit his home run prop tonight for the 11th time at +430 before first pitch in Pittsburgh at 6:40PM ET.

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