Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Thursday, May 14

The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we’re ready to pick more winners on Thursday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk.

Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets today with free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday, May 14!

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #1: Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +240

It’s been a rough season for Luis Castillo to say the least as he takes the mound in Houston today for the final of a four-game set between the Mariners and Astros.

On the other hand it’s been a great season for Yordan Alvarez so far as we’ll look to play on his home run prop today. He hasn’t made much of an impact this series, but he is batting .350 at home this season to go along with a .700 slugging percentage.

Against Castillo all-time Alvarez is 10-22 with four home runs with the Seattle starter getting rocked on the road this season sporting a 7.50 ERA with four home runs allowed in 18 innings as well.

Four of the six home runs allowed by Castillo this season have come against lefties with Alvarez batting .301 and slugging .583 against right handed pitching and has a .538 slugging percentage against the Mariners specifically too.

Castillo allowed two home runs in four innings during his last start at the White Sox so let’s take Alvarez to hit his 14th home run of the season today at +240 odds before first pitch at 2:35PM ET.

MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Jordan Walker (STL) +310

Cardinals outfielder Jordan Walker is having a nice breakout season already hitting 11 home runs in 41 games with his previous season high coming in his rookie season with 16 in 117 games as the Cardinals and Athletics finish off their series in Sacramento today.

From Walker’s 11 home runs, six have come on the road with lefty Jacob Lopez taking the mound for the Athletics.

He has given up eight home runs in just 35.1 innings pitched while sporting a 6.75 ERA during home starts this season.

The Athletics starter also has a 7.40 ERA in day games and has allowed five home runs in 20.2 innings during those starts as well.

He has given up four home runs combined across his last two starts (10.2 IP) with righties slugging .538 against him on the season.

This month Walker is batting .308 to go along with a .564 slugging percentage and during day games he’s batting .290 and slugging .645 compared to slugging .495 in night games.

Playing in a hitters ballpark let’s take Walker to hit his home run prop today at +310 as the Cardinals look to take the series from the Athletics.

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