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Canadian Grand Prix Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds June 17

Max Verstappen races Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix

Canadian Grand Prix Betting Preview

WagerTalk F1 handicapper Andy Lang offers his predictions and betting preview on Canadian Grand Prix with drivers starting their engines at 2:00pm ET from Gilles Villeneuve Circuit in Notre-Dame, Montreal. Max Verstappen continues his domination of the Formula 1 circuit heading into the Canadian Grand Prix.

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Canadian Grand Prix F1 Betting Notes
When: June 18, 2023 2:00pm ET / 11:00am PT
Where: Gilles Villeneuve Circuit in Notre-Dame, Montreal
Defending Champ: Max Verstappen
Current Favorite: Max Verstappen (-330 at DraftKings)

Canadian Grand Prix Betting Analysis

On a 20-11 run in Formula 1 plays, and our plays are up for this weeks race, qualifying and practice here:

If you’re looking for someone to challenge Max Verstappen, don’t get your hopes up at this track. I think this track sets up a bit similar to Spain in that Red Bulls advantage on the long stretches will be very apparent.

Even with the Mercedes upgrades I don’t see anyone competing with Max unless there’s a reliability issue or wreck. Max won this race last year by a second over Carlos Sainz in the Ferrari, but if there are no late cautions we could see Max win by 30+ seconds.

The Mercedes upgrades certainly looked good as they finished 2-3, but if Perez would have qualified better, he certainly would have spoiled the double podium for Mercedes. However, they were absolutely better than Ferrari and Fernando Alonso so they may have jumped into that #2 spot in the team power rankings right now.

I like what I’ve seen from the Alpine’s, especially Ocon as he’s finished top 10 in three straight races, and all three of those races have cashed tickets on Alpine Double Top 10, and if they can finish 8th and 10th on the last track, I think they can do it again at this track.

Canadian Grand Prix Drivers to Avoid

Drivers to avoid:  In head to head matchups for the race, I won’t be betting on Lando Norris, Sergio Perez or the Ferrari drivers.

Ferrari can’t get their act together for race strategy, and what they are doing to Sainz and Leclerc this season is laughable.

When Leclerc can’t even trust his own team to put the correct tyres on the car, there’s no way I can trust those guys in bets.  Norris is all or nothing as he finishes top 10 or 17th.

He’s ok to take over his teammate in qualifying, but he can’t get anything consistent going in races.

Perez has turned into a bonehead in qualifying, and it’s ruined his last couple races.  No doubt he has great race pace, but starting far behind Mercedes and Verstappen is a recipe for not making it to the podium.

Canadian Grand Prix Prediction: Mercedes Double Top 6-140

We’ve been betting on Mercedes Top 10 all season as a parlay piece (which you can still absolutely do), but I’ll happily play them Double Top 10 at -140.

Those new upgrades looked great, and I expect them to not compete with Red Bull, but to be ahead of Ferrari and Fernando Alonso.

Russell and Hamilton know how to stay out of trouble, and Mercedes always seems to have the right strategy in place.

Interested in placing a bet on the Canadian Grand Prix? BetMGM is offering a $1,000 Risk-Free Bet for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.

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