2025 LSU Football Preview Presented by GoldSheet | SEC Betting Predictions
Stop us if you’ve heard this one before: The 2025 LSU football team has the potential No. 1 draft pick at quarterback and the Tigers are loaded with individual talent. That’s been the story in Baton Rouge several times over the last few years, but LSU hasn’t been able to add much to the trophy case (except for a few Heismans).
2025 LSU Football Preview
SEC Betting Odds
| Team | 2024 Record | 2025 Win Total | SEC Odds | Nat’l Champ Odds |
| Alabama | 9-4 (5-3) | 9.5 (o -125 / u +105) | +380 | +1100 |
| Arkansas | 7-6 (3-5) | 5.5 (o +110 / u -130) | +15000 | +40000 |
| Auburn | 5-7 (2-6) | 7.5 (o -160 / u +135) | +2800 | +7000 |
| Florida | 8-5 (4-4) | 7.5 (o +115 / u -135) | +1800 | +4000 |
| Georgia | 11-3 (6-2) | 9.5 (o -170 / u +140) | +330 | +700 |
| Kentucky | 4-8 (1-7) | 4.5 (o -115 / u -105) | +25000 | +50000 |
| LSU | 9-4 (5-3) | 8.5 (o -140 / u +120) | +700 | +1800 |
| Ole Miss | 10-3 (5-3) | 8.5 (-110) | +1600 | +4500 |
| Mississippi St | 2-10 (0-8) | 3.5 (o -160 / u +135) | +50000 | +80000 |
| Missouri | 10-3 (5-3) | 7.5 (o +130 / u -155) | +6000 | +15000 |
| Oklahoma | 6-7 (2-6) | 6.5 (o -170 / u +140) | +2800 | +6500 |
| South Carolina | 9-4 (5-3) | 7.5 (o +125 / u -150) | +2500 | +6000 |
| Tennessee | 10-3 (6-2) | 8.5 (o +115 / u -135) | +2500 | +6000 |
| Texas | 13-3 (7-1) | 9.5 (o -170 / u +140) | +270 | +550 |
| Texas A&M | 8-5 (5-3) | 8.5 (o +125 / u -150) | +1500 | +4000 |
| Vanderbilt | 7-6 (3-5) | 5.5 (o +130 / u -155) | +20000 | +50000 |
Odds above courtesy of DraftKings as of July 26. The Tigers went 9-4 straight-up, 5-8 against the spread last season. LSU beat Baylor as an underdog in the Texas Bowl, but the Tigers were 3-6 against the number as a favorite last season.
2025 LSU Football Roster
Projected Returning Starters: 16 (Eight on offense and eight on defense)
Projected Starting QB: Garrett Nussmeier (Returning)
Returning Production: 65-percent (65-percent on offense and 64-percent on defense)
Incoming Talent Class: No. 7 Nationally / No. 5 in SEC
Coaching Changes: No major changes. Head coach Brian Kelly, offensive coordinator Joe Sloan and defensive coordinator Blake Baker all return.
Returning starters are courtesy of Phil Steele’s 2025 College Football Preview Magazine. Returning production is courtesy of Bill Connelly’s conference preview series at ESPN. Incoming talent rankings are courtesy of 247 Sports’ Composite Ratings, which capture the talent rankings of both incoming freshman and incoming transfers.
2024 LSU Football Stats
Strength of Schedule: No. 8 (courtesy of Jeff Sagarin)
Turnover Differential: -3 (No. 81 Nationally)
Plays per Game: 71.9 (No. 31)
Seconds per Play: 27.0 (No. 82)
Average Time of Possession: 32:04 (No. 16)
LSU Football Stats on Offense
Yards per Game: 431.5 (No. 25)
Points per Game: 30.5 (No. 47)
Yards per Play: 6.19 (No. 35)
Offensive Success Rate: 43.7-percent (No. 40)
Explosive Plays (20+ Yards): 70 (No. 26)
Net EPA per Play: +0.07 (No. 53)
LSU Football Stats on Defense
Yards per Game Allowed: 364.4 (No. 61)
Points per Game Allowed: 24.3 (No. 59)
Yards per Play Allowed: 5.88 (No. 89)
Defensive Success Rate: 41.3-percent (No. 77)
Explosive Plays Allowed (20+ Yards): 58 (No. 80)
Success Rate is an advanced metric that factors in the down and distance in relation to yards gained. A two-yard gain for a running back doesn’t look great in his overall box score, however a two-yard gain on 3rd-and-2 is a successful play. A low success rate on defense means you’re doing a good job of stopping the opponent from achieving successful plays. EPA stands for expected points added per play and it is a measure of how many points a team adds (or loses) on each play compared to the expected value.
2025 LSU Football Schedule
2025 Football GoldSheet Newsletter
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WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of the LSU football games from their release in May all the way through Week 1 in August. Find free college football picks from season win total bets through National Championship futures on our free picks pages.
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