LIV Golf Mexico City Picks and Predictions – Weekly Golf Preview
LIV Golf Mexico City Betting Preview With Picks and Predictions
LIV Golf Mexico City tees off on April 16 with WagerTalk golf handicapper Andy Lang giving his weekly golf picks before the event starts at Club De Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City, Mexico. Andy discusses the course, his head-to-head picks and outright winners! Read his LIV Golf Mexico City betting preview below!
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| LIV Golf Mexico City | LIV Golf Mexico City Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| When: | April 16-19 |
| Where: | Club De Golf Chapultepec – Mexico City, Mexico |
| Defending Champ: | Joaquín Niemann |
| Current Favorite: | Jon Rahm (+360) |
| TV: | FOX and FS1 |
LIV Golf Mexico City Course: Club De Golf Chapultepec
LIV Golf heads back to Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City, one of the most unique venues in professional golf. Sitting at **high elevation—nearly 8,000 feet above sea level— **this course dramatically changes how the game is played, with the ball traveling significantly farther than usual.
Chapultepec is a par-71 layout around 7,300–7,400 yards, but the altitude effectively shortens the course, allowing players to hit massive drives and attack with shorter clubs into greens.
While that creates scoring opportunities, the course still demands precision. Tree-lined fairways, elevation changes, and strategically placed bunkers force players to control both distance and trajectory, especially with approach shots into elevated or sloping greens.
The biggest adjustment this week will be distance control. With the ball flying farther in the thin air, players must recalibrate yardages and spin, particularly on wedge shots where it’s easy to fly greens.
That opens the door for aggressive scoring, but also brings big numbers into play if players misjudge conditions.
With the event now played over four rounds, endurance and consistency will matter more than ever at altitude.
Expect a mix of low scoring and volatility, where players who quickly adapt to the conditions and dial in their distances will have a major edge.
LIV Golf Mexico City Predictions: Top 5
Jon Rahm Top 5
Rahm has been the most dominant and consistent player on the LIV Tour this season, finishing 5th or better in every event. That kind of baseline performance makes a Top 5 number extremely realistic.
His game travels anywhere—elite ball striking, strong short game, and the ability to avoid big mistakes. That consistency is exactly what you want for a placement market like this.
He’s also proven at this course, finishing 4th here last year, so there are no concerns about fit or comfort.
When the best player on the tour is consistently landing inside the Top 5, you don’t overthink it —you back the trend.
LIV Golf Mexico City Predictions: Head to Heat
Cameron Smith (-115) vs Dustin Johnson
Smith has had the clear edge in this matchup all season, finishing ahead of Dustin Johnson in 4 of the 5 LIV events this year. That consistency gives him a strong baseline in a head-to-head format.
He’s also shown comfort at this course, finishing 5th here last year—just ahead of DJ. That familiarity matters, especially when both players know the layout.
Smith’s game tends to be more reliable week-to-week, particularly with his short game and
putting, which helps him avoid big numbers and stay in contention.
With better recent form, a head-to-head edge this season, and proven success at this course, Smith is the right side at this price.
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