Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Wednesday, May 14

The 2025 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs were hit last season and we’re ready to pick more winners in 2025! Free home run prop picks each day come at you compliments of WagerTalk.

Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets on Wednesday! You can find free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Wednesday, May 14.

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

Bryce Harper (PHI) +430 (Game 1)

The Cardinals and Phillies will play a double header today as a result of last night’s rain out and in game one Erick Fedde takes the mound for the Cardinals.

To say Bryce Harper has been successful against Fedde in his career would be an understatement with the Phillies first baseman going 11-22 with six home runs in his career against the Cardinals starter.

Harper is batting just .232 this season, but during day games he’s batting .297 with a .469 slugging percentage compared to just a .187 average and .385 slugging percentage at night.

Harper’s slugging percentage at home is also over 140 points higher than it is on the road with Fedde allowing all three of his home runs away from Busch Stadium this season.

He did pitch a complete game shutout last time out at Washington, but we think he comes down to earth today.

We get +430 odds for Harper to hit a home run today with other Phillies batters to consider for a home run being Kyle Schwarber (+420) and Max Kepler (+600).

MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Brandon Nimmo (NYM) +630

We get excellent odds on Brandon Nimmo to hit a home run for the Mets today as he looks to extend a six game hitting streak against the Pirates.

The Mets have moved Nimmo to the middle of the line up this season and it’s paid off so far with the Mets outfielder hitting eight home runs so far this season including two this month.

In his career, Nimmo is 5-12 with a home run off Pirates starter Bailey Falter with Falter allowing a .541 slugging percentage to left handed hitters compared to a .356 slugging percentage allowed to righties.

The Pirates starter has also performed much worse on the road this season allowing a .307 opponent batting average away from PNC Park compared to a .163 opponent average during home starts.

Nimmo is slugging .591 across the last seven days so let’s look for him to hit a home run at +630 odds with other Mets to look at smashing a home run include Juan Soto (+350) and Francisco Lindor (+390). 

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