Tokyo Brandon
Featured Pick
College Hoops Feature Bet! TOP Capper 3 of Last 5 Years | +PROFIT in 5 of 6 Years | +40 Units in 2026
Tokyo Brandon has been WagerTalk’s #1 Profit Machine, and the numbers back it up:
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
That’s #1 overall in 3 of the last 5 years among 33 capper and positive profits in 5 of the last 6. No coin flips. No guessing. Just consistent bankroll-building performance. +PROFIT in 5 of 6 Years, +40 Units in 2026!
Today’s feature College Hoops play is locked and loaded—grab it now for $15.
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Hot Streaks
🥇 #1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2021 (+256 units)
🥇 #1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2024 (+180 units)
🥇 #1 WagerTalk MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
🥇 #1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2022 (+125 units)
🔥15-5 RUN 5% MAX BETS
💵 #4 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2025 (+48 units)
Last updated Feb 20, 10:42 PM EST
All Plays
College Hoops Feature Bet! TOP Capper 3 of Last 5 Years | +PROFIT in 5 of 6 Years | +40 Units in 2026
Tokyo Brandon has been WagerTalk’s #1 Profit Machine, and the numbers back it up:
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
That’s #1 overall in 3 of the last 5 years among 33 capper and positive profits in 5 of the last 6. No coin flips. No guessing. Just consistent bankroll-building performance. +PROFIT in 5 of 6 Years, +40 Units in 2026!
Today’s feature College Hoops play is locked and loaded—grab it now for $15.
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Up $7000 Last 30 days | Profits Are Proof | Top Capper 3/5 Years | +Profit 5/6 Years | +40 units 2026
Streaks are noise. Results are receipts. Up $7000 the last 30 days, Tokyo Brandon ranked #1 in All-Sports profit 3 of the last 5 years among WagerTalk's 33 cappers and is already +40 units in 2026.
2025: #4 All-Sports Profit (+49 units)
2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units)
2022: #1 All-Sports Profit (+125 units)
2021: #1 All-Sports Profit (+225 units)
Lock in Tokyo Brandon's college basketball Iowa vs Wisconsin pick TODAY for ONLY $15 and ride with the guy who's been crushing it for years. Buy multi-season results, not 1 week heaters.
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
#1 MLB Profit 2024 Handicapper's Season Wins Total Pick – Only $15!
Tokyo Brandon stands as one of WagerTalk's most elite and consistent performers — the #1 all-sports profit leader in 3 of the last 5 years among 33 top handicappers. His rock-solid, year-over-year track record proves he's no flash in the pan:
2024: #1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units)
2022: #1 All-Sports Profit (+125 units)
2021: #1 All-Sports Profit (+225 units)
2025: #4 All-Sports Profit (+49 units)
Lock in Tokyo Brandon's MLB future season wins total pick TODAY for ONLY $15 and ride with the guy who's been crushing it for years. Brandon was #1 in MLB profit at WagerTalk in 2024 and was a scout for MLB for a decade, he knows baseball.
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
WORLD BASEBALL CLASSIC FUTURE BET
Get Brandon's WORLD BASEBALL CLASSIC FUTURE BET! Brandon is WagerTalk's #1 all-sports profit capper 3 of the last 4 years. The WBC will start March 5th, 2026.
BRANDON IS':
#1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2024 (+180 units)
#1 WagerTalk MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2022 (+125 units)
#1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2021 (+256 units)
WagerTalk Specials
ALL-BASEBALL ALL-ACCESS PASS | 3 LEAGUES! $699 DISCOUNT
50% OFF Every Baseball League from WagerTalk's Top Capper! Click here: https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2021. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself:
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers over the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet) click here! https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon's College Baseball Full Season Pass
Get the entire College Baseball season for only $349. This package covers everything from Opening Day through the College World Series — including any RARE 5% Best Bets released during the season.
Your full access includes:
- The Entire Regular Season
- Conference Tournaments
- 64-Team Regionals
- Super Regionals
- College World Series
There is no separate postseason purchase, and no upsell when tournament play begins. From the heart of the regular season through Omaha, you are fully covered.
That’s approximately 15 weeks of legitimate betting volume, working out to UNDER $20 per week for the complete season.
Full coverage. Full access. From first pitch to the final out of the College World Series.
Full-Court All-Access Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
For a limited time, get every basketball play from Tokyo Brandon for three full days — including NBA and College Basketball selections and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49.
That’s only $16.33 per day for every premium hoops play your handicapper releases. You’ll also receive instant access the moment plays are posted, giving you the best possible line value before the markets move.
Individually, these plays would cost over $100, but the Full-Court All-Access Pass delivers three days of nonstop basketball action for less than half the price.
As an added bonus, if your handicapper releases any overseas or women’s basketball selections during your access, those will be included at no extra charge.
Don’t miss a single tip-off — lock in your Full-Court All-Access Pass today and start cashing in!
*Access includes all NBA and College Basketball selections released during your 3-day window.
10 Days of All-Access for the Price of 7 (save $69!)
For a limited time, get a 10-Day All-Access Pass for just $99 — the same price as a 7-Day pass. That effectively gives you 3 extra days free, valued at $69. It breaks down to less than $10 per day for full access to your favorite handicapper.
What You Get: You’ll receive every play in every sport they release for 10 full days, including any Top Rated 5% Best Bets, which normally sell for $35 each.
Lock in 10 full days of All-Access for $99 before this offer expires!
$500 OFF 1 Year Pass – Just $125/Month + 25% Bonus Coupon!
Get $500 OFF a full 365-Day All-Access Pass from your favorite WagerTalk Expert, cutting the price from $1,999 down to just $1,499.
That breaks down to only $125 per month or just $4.10 per day for every pick, every sport, and every 5% Best Bet released over the next 12 months.
And the bonuses don’t stop there…
Throughout your access period, you’ll also receive a 25% OFF BONUS COUPON on all future regular-priced daily, All-Access, and Flex Pass purchases sitewide.
That bonus alone can save you hundreds — even thousands — over the course of the year, depending on how you play.
Your All Access Pass Includes:
✔️ All Sports Released
✔️ All 5% Best Bets
✔️ 365 Full Days of Access
✔️ 25% OFF Additional Purchases
One pass. Full access. Maximum winning potential.
Downloads
2026 NPB Japanese Baseball Preview - FREE DOWNLOAD!
NPB 2026 PREVIEW by Tokyo Brandon ( Free plays available at wt.buzz/tb )
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
- Pacific League
- Every team 2025 record and outcome
- Team by team breakdown
- Offense rankings
- Starting rotation rankings
- Bullpen rankings
- 2026 Pacific league top 5 offensive and pitching leader projections
- Central League
- Every team 2025 record and outcome
- Team by team breakdown
- Offense rankings
- Starting rotation rankings
- Bullpen rankings
- 2026 Pacific league top 5 offensive and pitching leader projections
Projected playoff teams
Nippon Series teams
Nippon Series winner
Unlock Yankees 2026 Insider Preview PDF – Just $2! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive New York Yankees 2026 Preview PDF for just $2 (less than a coffee!). Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. At only $2, it’s a no-brainer steal. Download the Yankees 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Detroit Tigers 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive Detroit Tigers 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the Detroit Tigers 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Unlock Chicago Cubs 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive Chicago Cubs 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the Chicago Cubs 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Unlock Boston Red Sox 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive Boston Red Sox 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the Boston Red Sox 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Unlock Los Angeles Dodgers 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive Los Angeles Dodgers 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the Los Angeles Dodgers 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Unlock Cincinnati Reds 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive Cincinnati Reds 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the Cincinnati Reds 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Unlock San Francisco Giants 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive San Francisco Giants 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the San Francisco Giants 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Unlock Texas Rangers 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive Texas Rangers 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the Texas Rangers 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Unlock Atlanta Braves 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive Atlanta Braves 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the Atlanta Braves 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Unlock New York Mets 2026 Insider Preview PDF – FREE! Ex-MLB Scout & #1 Profit Capper
Former MLB scout Tokyo Brandon spent 10 years evaluating talent for a Major League team. He’s also WagerTalk’s #1 all-sports profit capper in multiple years—including #1 in MLB profit in 2024 with massive units won.
Don’t enter 2026 blindly—grab his exclusive New York Mets 2026 Preview PDF for FREE. Inside you’ll get:
- 2025 season recap
- Full off-season breakdown
- Team improvements (or regressions)
- Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
- Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
- Bullpen projections & ranks
- Realistic win total
- Clear playoff outlook
This insider-level intel, built on real scouting experience and proven winning, gives you the edge for futures, props, and season bets. Download the New York Mets 2026 Preview PDF now—arm yourself before the season starts!
Follow:
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
Free Picks
THE PLAY: Los Angeles Dodgers -120
ALL-BASEBALL ALL-ACCESS YEAR PASS | EVERY LEAGUE! $699 DISCOUNT
This is an early bird special offered only for a limited time
50% OFF Every Baseball League from WagerTalk's Top Capper!
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2020. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself:
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers in 3 of the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
_______
LAD @ SDP — Spring Training (Feb 22, 2026)
Venue: Peoria Stadium / Peoria Sports Complex (Padres’ spring home).
Probable starters: LAD LHP Jackson Ferris vs SDP RHP Randy Vásquez.
Gametime weather: around 76°F in Peoria (sunny/clear).
Batter vs pitcher H2H since 4/15/2025
Real talk: this matchup has essentially no meaningful H2H under cutoff because:
Ferris hasn’t faced MLB hitters in regular-season volumes (he’s a high-end minor league arm).
Vásquez has MLB time, but the overlap vs “current spring rosters” since 4/15/2025 is still thin enough to be mostly noise.
So the projection has to be driven primarily by: spring pitcher usage + bullpen/farm quality + baseline team scoring + park/weather, not tiny H2H samples..
Inputs I’m using:
Team scoring baselines (2025 R/G)
Dodgers: 5.09 runs/game
Padres: 4.33 runs/game
Starting pitcher quality anchors
Ferris (LAD): prospect with strong 2025 finish signals (plus AA run-prevention splits on Statcast page); in spring I regress him toward “promising but not fully baked MLB” → RA9 ≈ 4.6 for a short 2-IP look.
Vásquez (SDP): MLB bio note: 4.20 ERA over 60 IP across a 12-start stretch (good “back-end starter” anchor) → RA9 ≈ 4.4 for a short 2-IP look.
Bullpen + farm depth (spring leverage = huge)
2025 bullpen ERA: LAD 4.27 vs SDP 3.06.
Farm depth for “random spring innings”:
Dodgers farm ranked very high (#4)
Padres farm ranked dead last (widely summarized)
Spring translation: Padres’ top pen arms are great, but the “innings 6–9 parade of depth arms” is where LAD’s system edge matters.
So for spring bullpen/depth RA9 (not regular-season true talent), I set:
LAD spring pen RA9 ≈ 4.6
SDP spring pen RA9 ≈ 4.5 (elite pen reputation, but depth drag keeps it from being cartoonishly low)
Projected final score (1 decimal): LAD 5.1 — SDP 4.5
Fair odds:
LAD fair: 56.2% → -128
SDP fair: 43.8% → +128
THE PLAY: Cleveland Guardians 110
ALL-BASEBALL ALL-ACCESS YEAR PASS | EVERY LEAGUE! $699 DISCOUNT
This is an early bird special offered only for a limited time
50% OFF Every Baseball League from WagerTalk's Top Capper!
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2020. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself:
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers in 3 of the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
_______
CLE @ ATH — Spring Training (Feb 22, 2026)
Book odds: Cleveland +109 / Athletics -132
Probable starters: CLE Parker Messick (LHP) vs ATH Luis Severino (RHP).
Weather: Mesa is warm (high ~83°F; ESPN game page shows gametime ~77°F) → slight run lift.
Batter vs pitcher H2H
usable H2H is basically thin/noisy here (Messick only debuted late 2025; spring rosters churn). So the projection leans on: starter quality (regressed for spring), bullpen + farm depth (biggest spring driver), weather.
Inputs I’m using (with sources)
2025 offense baselines
CLE: 3.97 R/G
ATH: 4.52 R/G
Starter anchors (2025)
Messick: 2.72 ERA (39.2 IP)
Severino: 4.54 ERA
Bullpens (2025)
CLE bullpen ERA: 3.44
ATH bullpen ERA: 4.53
Spring usage assumptions
Starters go ~2.0 IP (early spring leash)
Then 7-ish innings of spring pen/depth
I regress to “spring segment RA9”:
Messick RA9(seg)=3.6 (regressed up from 2.72 for spring looseness)
Severino RA9(seg)=4.8 (a bit above 4.54)
Spring pen/depth RA9 estimates (bullpen + system quality):CLE pen 4.2 (great 2025 pen, strong org depth)
ATH pen 4.9 (weaker 2025 pen)
Projections with calculations
Projected final: CLE 4.3 — ATH 4.2
Fair odds (moneyline) from projection
CLE fair: 51.3% → -105
ATH fair: 48.7% → +105
Value vs book odds: CLE +109 / ATH -132
CLE +109: EV per 1u risk =0.513×1.09−0.487=+0.072=0.513\times1.09-0.487=+0.072=0.513×1.09−0.487=+0.072 → ~+7.2% ROI
ATH -132: payout =100/132=0.7576=100/132=0.7576=100/132=0.7576 → EV =0.487×0.7576−0.513=−0.144=0.487\times0.7576-0.513=-0.144=0.487×0.7576−0.513=−0.144 → ~−14.4% ROI
Verdict: Cleveland +109 is the value side on this projection; Athletics -132 is overpriced.
THE PLAY: Miami Marlins -135
ALL-BASEBALL ALL-ACCESS YEAR PASS | EVERY LEAGUE! $699 DISCOUNT
This is an early bird special offered only for a limited time
50% OFF Every Baseball League from WagerTalk's Top Capper!
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Tokyo Brandon has been dominating since 2020. Don’t miss your shot to cash in with Tokyo Brandon’s baseball in 2026 at 50% for the entire year, every league!
Why trust Tokyo Brandon? Because the record speaks for itself:
#1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)
#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)
#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)
Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers in 3 of the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons – no guessing here, just a consistent winning strategy and results. Your bankroll will thank you later, and your wallet will too with 50% off! (this includes MLB, KBO, Japanese, World Baseball Classic, Mexican baseball and EVERY other baseball bet all year)
🔴click here! ➡ https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon#specials
Follow
X @Tokyo Brandon
TikTok @tokyobrandonofficial
Instagram @tokyobrandon
_______
WSH @ MIA — Spring Training (Feb 22, 2026)
Book odds: Washington +113 / Miami -137
Venue: Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium (Jupiter, FL). ESPN lists 1:10 PM with gametime temp ~84°F.
Park: plays run-suppressing (MLB park factors list Runs: 91, where 100 = avg).
Probable starters: WSH Mitchell Parker (LHP) vs MIA Sandy Alcantara (RHP).
Inputs (what I’m feeding the model)
Offense baselines (2025 R/G)
WSH: 4.24 R/G
MIA: 4.38 R/G
Starters (2025 anchors)
Parker: ~5.85 ERA over 158⅓ IP (MLB writeup).
Alcantara: 5.36 ERA (ESPN season stats).
Bullpens (2025)
WSH bullpen ERA: 5.59 (worst by ERA).
MIA bullpen ERA: 4.28.
Farm/depth (spring innings quality)
Nationals #14 per a ranking roundup.
Marlins #10.
Spring usage assumptions
Each starter: 2.0 IP (early spring leash)
First 5 innings = 2 IP starter + 3 IP spring pen
Full game = 2 IP starter + 7 IP spring pen
I regress to “spring segment” RA9 (runs allowed per 9):
Alcantara RA9(seg) = 4.3 (better than his 2025 ERA, short outing, less times-through).
Parker RA9(seg) = 5.6 (rough 2025, short leash doesn’t magically fix command).
Spring pen RA9 (bullpen + depth):
MIA pen RA9 ≈ 4.4 (4.28 pen + farm helps).
WSH pen RA9 ≈ 5.3 (5.59 pen, farm helps a bit but still leaky).
Projected final: WSH 3.8 — MIA 4.9
Fair odds (moneyline) from projection
MIA fair: 62.0% → -163
WSH fair: 38.0% → +163
Value vs your book odds: WSH +113 / MIA -137
Edge vs my fair (WSH 38.0% / MIA 62.0%)
MIA -137: value (my win% 62% > market 55.2% no-vig)
EV per 1 unit risk: payout =100/137=0.7299=100/137=0.7299=100/137=0.7299 → 0.62×0.7299−0.38=+0.0730.62\times0.7299-0.38=+0.0730.62×0.7299−0.38=+0.073 ⇒ ~+7.3% ROIWSH +113: negative value
EV: 0.38×1.13−0.62=−0.1910.38\times1.13-0.62=-0.1910.38×1.13−0.62=−0.191 ⇒ ~−19.1% ROI
Verdict: Miami -137 is the value side based on this projection; Washington +113 is not.
WagerTalk TV
Last 20
Consultant Bio
Don't look at streaks, look at seasons... #1 all sports profit at Wager Talk 3 of the last 5 years.
You won't see Brandon talking about how he did in 7 or 3 days, he talks about how he does in seasons. #1 at Wager Talk 3 of the last 5 years in profit. Brandon scouted Japanese baseball for the Pacific Rim Scouting Department of a Major League Baseball team for ten years and is based in Tokyo, Japan. Brandon is Wager Talk's #1 all-sports profit capper in 2021 (+256 units), 2022 (+127 units) and 2024 (+180 units). He now uses his mathematical probabilities and scouting analyses to handicap sports including Japanese baseball, Korean baseball, Asian basketball and MLB.
Brandon has lived in Japan since 1992 and is originally from Phoenix, Arizona. Brandon graduated from The University of Arizona with a BA degree in Japanese Studies in 1992.
👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏📝📝📝📝💴💵💶💷💴💵💶💷
** Actual client recommendations: ( Click here for twitter feed @Tokyo_Brandon )
- By far the best baseball handicapper. Isolates niche mlb props and destroys Asian markets. Personally followed him for years
- Said it before and saying it again, TB is the baseball goat
- "I truly appreciate any advice you give on Wagertalk. You are the best baseball capper I've seen out there."
- "easy W!.Tokyo Brandon is the best capper on wagertalk. Not even a competition."
- “Wow sir, I'm blown away each morning. Thank you Brandon!”
- "Service pays for itself really really fast!"
- "Bought his whole season before season started best capper ever bought absolute money machine"
- "I'm going to have to get a 2nd wallet. Anyone not tailing Tokyo Brandon must be allergic to money"
- "This dude is a monster! Literally paid off my package from one night of bets. Get on board if you haven't already."
- “If you guys are looking for a capper that will make you money, then Brandon is who you need helping you. Money talks. Bu***hit walks.”
- “The best investment you will ever make. My package has already paid off 10x. Wake up to money daily.”
- "Tokyo Brandon is a blind bet on KBO !directly from a client ,everyone ! Take it to the bank"
- “Glad I jumped on board, you are killing it! I now wake up before my alarm in anticipation to see how much money I've won.”
- “Thank you for the picks best KBO capper there is”
- “Love to wake up and cake up!! Honestly if your not paying for this mans picks and love to gamble you just aint doing it right”
- “The Tokyo Money Machine keeps spitting out more $$$ for his clients”
- “Woke up to a cash....JPBaseballTV is a walking fireball. Ty sir”
- "I want to say Thank You for the past Month for lining my wallet with South Korean Won and Japanese Yen!"
- "You have banked me a lot and I truly appreciate it."
- "Have you ever just woke up to having more money? The 5% and 4% plays are as close to automatic as you can find."
- “thanks to you and Wager Talk I am in a position to make withdrawls every week. thank you so much!!!!!”
- “Ill take 80% any day. I’ve already surpassed my season long subscription cost. Well worth the money. Thank you”
- “You are so money, you dont even know it. You are like a big bear with claws. So money!”
- “bought your kbo package clean sweep each day. One of the best purchases I have made thank you!!!!!!”
- “Youre a over seas baseball god I swear!! Keep up the great work bud”
- “Thanks for the play that I saw on the show! Like Christmas morning”
- “Keep going Tokyo!!! So much money to be made with this man, hidden gem”
- “Tokyo Brandon is my early morning ATM”
- “You're my number # 1 capper at WT. Start calling you Bank Machine Brandon”
- “I bought the package and made the 249 back in the first 4 or 5 days”
- “Ur plays are getting pretty close to free money”
- “This man is a must add for your portfolio. Nothing better than waking up to more money!”
- “WOKE UP AND COUNTED THE MONEY!!”
- “wake up to another BANK BUILDER”
- “I make house payments from your plays ..”
- "Hell all you been doing is making me $$money$$ with overseas basketball !! Thank you"
- "Parlayed ur team totals lastnight and woke up to bank"
- "People sleeping on your overseas play's are sleeping on money"
- “man you are spot-on was easy LOL. THANKS! Killin it”
- "damn!!!!! you were so on point in your projections...what a roll!!"
- “Lets put it this way. Ive never paid more than $49 for a package. Ever ! I've been paying close attention to your plays this year. $249 was a no brainer.”
- "u r one of the best cappers ive seen if not the best"
- "If people need wakeup money then your overseas plays are as close as it gets"
- "Literally won $1000's & $1000's off ur oversea basketball"
- “thanks i win under 213 in CBA your one of a kind Bro!!! keep it up still #1”
- "Game won me money last night thank you"
- "This guy is unbelievably clutch and also not to mention your in markets that are beatable."
- "Great call .... true wizard"
- "the picks have been solid so far. Where could I actually send a tip?"
- "That's awesome man keep killing it!"
- "thanks to your baseball picks I recovered some of my losses from others.."
View all WagerTalk Handicappers
Top Sports Handicappers & Experts
- Gianni the Greek
- Marco D'Angelo
- Ben Burns
- Steve Merril
- Kyle Anthony
- Jesse Schule
- Bill "Krackman" Krackomberger
- Carmine Bianco
- Ross Benjamin
- Will Rogers
- Hakeem Profit
- The Gold Sheet
- Jeff Michaels
- Tokyo Brandon
- Adam Trigger
- Rob Veno
- Dwayne Bryant
- Drew Martin
- Joe Raineri
- Andy Lang
- Jimmy Adams
- Bryan Power
- Ralph Michaels
- The Prez
- Oskeim Sports
- Bryan Leonard
- Las Vegas Cris
- Don Buster
- Teddy Covers
- Sean Alvarez
- Kevin Dolan
- The Mad Russian
- Andrew McInnis
- Pavlos Laguretos
