Jeff Michaels
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AMAZING 13-0 (100%) RUN...WIN #14 IS THURSDAY!
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Last updated Jan 29, 5:03 AM EST
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Free Picks
THE PLAY: 2% Shortest touchdown UNDER 1.5 yards
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots
2% Shortest touchdown UNDER 1.5 yards.
Value Play on One-Yard Touchdowns:
One-yard touchdowns can often have a lower public profile, making them a value play, especially in high-stakes games like the Super Bowl where the focus can be on bigger plays.
The potential scenario of pass interference in the end zone resulting in a one-yard line situation can significantly increase the chances of a one-yard touchdown.
Historical Trends:
Super Bowl Stats: You noted that there have been one-yard touchdowns in 5 of the last 6, and 8 of the last 10 Super Bowls. This shows a strong historical trend, which suggests that this is a recurring situation in the context of big games.
Impact of Game Pressure:
The two weeks off leading up to the Super Bowl can add pressure on teams, which might lead to mistakes, including penalties in the red zone like pass interference. This can further increase the likelihood of opportunities for one-yard touchdowns.
The neutral crowd also plays a role, as players might behave differently without the typical home-field advantage, which can result in more nerves and potentially more fouls.
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Consultant Bio
MAKE SURE YOU FOLLOW HIM @JMSportsCLE
Yet another handicapper from the Cleveland area following Marc Lawrence, Phil Steele, Ralph Michaels, Ed Meyer, and Bryan Leonard. In fact, Jeff's hunger for handicapping began at a young age, being surrounded by parents who made sports betting a daily routine. Jeff then worked for both North Coast Sports and Phil Steele Publications, learning the intricacies of sports betting and becoming a profitable handicapper. Throughout his college years, Jeff's mathematical and analytical prowess helped him develop a betting strategy that turned sports betting into a profitable venture.
Jeff now joins the Sports Memo Marketplace after selling picks on several small sites. Jeff handicaps the traditional sports of NFL, CFB, the NBA, College Basketball, and MLB while showing real prowess in the WNBA. He has dominated the teaser market and has spent a lot of his focus on sides. While also adding in a share of props (especially NFL & MLB), as well as totals.
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