Pavlos Laguretos

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+44.18u in June
73% (16-6) run in 4% Releases (+$3,712)
63.5% (47-27) run in 4% Releases since December (+$6,144)
+107u Summer of '23 / +108u Summer of '24 / +36.28u Summer of '25
83% (5-1) run in 4% MLS Releases (+$1,540)
65% (32-17) in 4% MLS Releases L/2 Years (+$4,574)
Last updated Jun 26, 11:24 PM EDT

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THE PLAY: REGULATION Total Over 2.0 (-110)
Palmeiras vs Botafogo
Club World Cup, Saturday, 12pm ET
Play: Over 2 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -110
Line Parameter: Line good to -125
Brazilian civil war in the round of 16 of the Club World Cup, with two of the best Brazilian teams playing against one another when Botafogo will clash against Palmeiras.
Palmeiras +136 favourites here, the Draw at +190 and Botafogo +261 underdogs, with the Asian Spread set at 0.25 and the Asian Total set at 2.
The two teams have already met once in the season, back in late March, in a goal-less draw that should probably have had goals, as both teams took 13 shots each, with 3 and 5 shots on target respectively and a combined xG of 2.3.
That means that Botafogo are now unbeaten in L/5 H2H against Palmeiras (W3 D2 L0), and that includes two Copa Libertadores matches for the Round of 16 last season, where Botafogo won by 2-1 at home and forced a 2-2 draw on the road to progress to the next round, and eventually win the Libertadores.
Totals set at 2 seems low to me, considering that 3 of L/4 H2H went to the Over 2.5 Goals, and only 3 of L/11 had zero or 1 goals. And those 3 matches ALL had multiple scoring chances by both sides, high xG numbers and even some disallowed goals, so it's not like these two play any defense against one another. Chances are expected to be there, but at the end of the day it also requires a bit of luck for the shots to actually go in.
Take the Over 2 Goals here (-110), line good to -125
And for some Card Props:
This is a matchup that quite often produces a LOT of cards, especially since Botafogo returned to the Brazilian top flight in 2022.
Cards in recent H2H: 6/8*/6/6/2/12*/3/8*
Over 5.5 Cards in each of L/4 H2H and in 6 of L/8
Palmeiras Cards: 3/4*/1/3/0/4/0/4*
Palmeiras Over 2.5 Cards in 3 of L/4 and in 5 of L/8
Botafogo Cards: 3/4/5/3/2/8*/3/4
Botafogo Over 2.5 Cards in each of L/4 and in 7 of L/8
We don't know the referee yet, but STRONG lean to the Over 4.5 Cards (-128 at FD), otherwise take the Over 5 Asian Cards

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Consultant Bio
Pavlos betting on European sports when he was in High School, back when most people his age didn't even know how to bet. After acquiring a Bachelor's Degree in International Economic Relationships and development from the Democritus University in Greece, Pavlos took a different path.
Things really took off for him in 2014 when he officially started writing predictions for US-based sites. Things picked up pretty quickly, and he has produced thousands upon thousands of match previous and predictions. He tends to venture off the beaten path, looking for hidden gems in a myriad of games you can bet on.
Single and double bets aside, Pavlos likes to play the odds as well. While some days there are safe single bets, there are other days that provide opportunities for different bets. Bets like Correct Scores, amount of Yellow Cards, Half-Time/Full-Time results, and all kinds of prop bets. Pavlos covers the following leagues: Major League Soccer (MLS), Copa America, EURO Cup, English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A, French Ligue 1, Champions League, and Europa League.
The betting systems he created have seen some massive pay-outs over the years. A couple of correct scores paired together can potentially save your entire season. These are small-stake bets that cost a few units but could bring massive returns on your investment.
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