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Downloads

NPB 2026 PREVIEW by Tokyo Brandon ( Free plays available at wt.buzz/tb )

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Pacific League

Every team 2025 record and outcome
Team by team breakdown
Offense rankings
Starting rotation rankings
Bullpen rankings
2026 Pacific league top 5 offensive and pitching leader projections

Central League

Every team 2025 record and outcome
Team by team breakdown
Offense rankings
Starting rotation rankings
Bullpen rankings
2026 Pacific league top 5 offensive and pitching leader projections

Projected playoff teams
Nippon Series teams
Nippon Series winner

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2025 season recap
Full off-season breakdown
Team improvements (or regressions)
Projected 2026 offense ranking & key stats
Starting rotation deep dive stats + rankings
Bullpen projections & ranks
Realistic win total
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Free Picks

Sport

Game Selection

Game Time

CBA

(301509) Shanghai at (301510) Fujian

6:35am EST - Jan 23/2026

THE PLAY: First Quarter Under +48.5 (-120)

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#4 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2025 (+49 units) Tokyo Brandon
#1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2024 (+180 units) Tokyo Brandon
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#1 WagerTalk ALL-SPORTS profit 2021 (+225 units) Tokyo Brandon

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This is a 2% client play. parameters: under 47.5 or higher

Shanghai @ Fujian — team comparison

Category	Shanghai	Fujian
Points per game (full season)	93.5	90.4
Points allowed (full season)	79.2	93.1
Points per game (last 10 games)	93.7	95.0
Points allowed (last 10 games)	77.3	95.4
Points per game (last 5 games)	94.4	94.0
Points allowed (last 5 games)	79.6	97.8
Points per game (last 5 H/A for this matchup)	96.2 (away)	104.4 (home)
Points allowed (last 5 H/A for this matchup)	77.6 (away)	97.0 (home)
Top scorers (PPG)	Brandon Goodwin 17.6; Li Hongquan 13.5	Travis Trice 17.1; Yang Zou 15.5
Assist leader (APG)	Brandon Goodwin 6.9	Travis Trice 5.5
Top rebounders (RPG)	Zhelin Wang 7.2; Hassan Whiteside 6.6	Yang Zou 5.6; Xihao Yang 4.6
Injuries	none listed in major preview pages	none listed in major preview pages

Player vs player matchups (starters)

PG: Brandon Goodwin (SH) vs Li Yiyang (FJ)

Goodwin edge: primary creator + elite assist load (6.9 APG) and efficient scoring for this league sample.
Fujian counter: Yiyang is a steady secondary handler, but far less creation volume (2.8 APG).

SG: Li Hongquan (SH) vs Travis Trice (FJ)

Trice is Fujian’s engine: high-usage scoring + playmaking (17.1 PPG / 5.5 APG).
Shanghai counter: Hongquan is Shanghai’s #2 scorer and a big spacing piece (13.5 PPG; strong 3P volume).
Net: Fujian’s best path is Trice winning this matchup decisively.

SF: Zheng Liu (SH) vs Yang Zou (FJ)

Zou is Fujian’s best wing: 15.5 PPG + team-best rebounding for a wing (5.6 RPG) + steals.
Shanghai’s wing spot here is more defense/role-driven; advantage Fujian.

PF: Zhenlin Zhang (SH) vs Xihao Yang (FJ)

Zhang is a versatile forward (2.9 APG on the sheet suggests hub-ish usage for a PF).
Xihao Yang brings rim protection (listed blocks rate) + boards; closer to even.

C: Hassan Whiteside (SH) vs Devin Williams (FJ)

Whiteside is Shanghai’s biggest single defensive swing (rim protection + boards; 6.6 RPG in limited MPG).
Williams is more of a complementary big (lower usage/creation). Shanghai advantage at the rim.

1st Quarter trends + 1Q score projection

Team	Split	1Q PF est	1Q PA est
Shanghai	last 5 games	23.60	19.90
Shanghai	last 5 away	24.05	19.40
Shanghai	full season	23.38	19.80
Fujian	last 5 games	23.50	24.45
Fujian	last 5 home	26.10	24.25
Fujian	full season	22.60	23.28

1Q score projection

1Q: Shanghai 24 — Fujian 22 (1Q total ≈ 46)

Sport

Game Selection

Game Time

CBB

(845) CS Bakersfield at (846) Hawaii: Total

12:00am EST - Jan 23/2026

THE PLAY: Total Under 147.5 (-110)

These long-term numbers say it all:

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________

Category	Cal St. Bakersfield	Hawaii
PPG since 1/1/26 (last 5)	70.8	75.2
Pts allowed since 1/1/26 (last 5)	76.8	67.4
Top 2 scorers (season)	Dailin Smith 15.1 PPG / CJ Hardy (team site notes he’s been out)	Isaac Johnson 12.6 PPG / (next-leading scorer: roster stats)
Assist leader (season)	CJ Hardy 2.7 APG	Aaron Hunkin-Claytor 3.9 APG
Top 2 rebounders (season)	Ronald Jessamy 6.3 RPG	Isaac Johnson 6.1 RPG
Injuries	Covers: none listed / CSUB site: CJ Hardy out 4–6 weeks (Jan 12 note)

Projected final: Hawaii 80 – CSUB 64 (Total 144)

Player matchup breakdowns (level of competition included)

CSUB offense vs Hawaii defense: Since Jan 1, CSUB has scored 62–81 in five Big West games , and Hawaii has allowed 45–83 across a tough road-heavy Big West stretch (UCSD/UCSB/UCI/Cal Poly/UCR) . The biggest matchup issue is Hawaii’s top-tier season defense (64.4 PA/G) plus CSUB’s reliance on lead creation from Dailin Smith (team scoring leader) . If CJ Hardy is still sidelined as CSUB’s own update suggested , CSUB’s half-court creation and late-clock organization take a hit—making long scoring droughts more likely against Hawaii’s set defense.

Hawaii offense vs CSUB defense: Hawaii’s scoring has been stable (67–88 last five) with Isaac Johnson as the primary finisher/scorer and rebound presence , and Hunkin-Claytor driving assists . CSUB has allowed 75+ in 4 of its last 5 , so Hawaii should generate efficient possessions (especially if CSUB’s guard depth is compromised). Hawaii missing Tanner Cuff matters more for rotation depth than usage at the top of the scoring tree.

Sport

Game Selection

Game Time

MLB

MIA Marlins Regular Season Wins

3:00am EDT - Sep 27/2026

THE PLAY: Over 73.5

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This is your chance to follow Tokyo Brandon closely and get all of his action for seven straight days at a steep discount.

These long-term numbers say it all:

2024: #1 MLB profit 2024 (+145 units)
2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units)
2022: #1 All-Sports Profit (+125 units)
2021: #1 All-Sports Profit (+225 units)
2025: #4 All-Sports Profit (+49 units)

__________

Aspect	Details
2025 Season Finish	79 wins, 83 losses (3rd in NL East)
Key Player Acquisitions (11/1/2025 - 1/17/2026)	- Osvaldo Bido (RHP, claimed off waivers from Rays, 1/16/26) - Multiple minor league signings (1/15/26): OF Carlos De Los Santos, SS Bernardo Doc, LHP Onardi Santos, INF Maikel Acosta, INF Santiago Solarte, INF Ronny Muñoz, INF/OF Jordani Peguero, INF/OF Michael De La Cruz, INF/OF Enyer Antonio, C Eliecer Mendoza, C Daniel Pire, C Yendi Pirela, C Francisco Del Campo, RHP Eliezer Peralta, RHP Evan Da Souza, RHP Justin Batista, RHP Jose Rosal, RHP Yerison Mendez, OF Jose Camacho, OF Raunny Figueredo, OF Ronald Rodriguez - Dillon Lewis (OF, trade from Yankees, 1/13/26) - Brendan Jones (OF, trade from Yankees, 1/13/26) - Dylan Jasso (INF, trade from Yankees, 1/13/26) - Juan Matheus (INF, trade from Yankees, 1/13/26) - Jesus Tinoco (RP, minor league contract, 1/11/26) - Daniel Johnson (CF, minor league contract, 1/11/26) - Owen Caissie (OF, trade from Cubs, 1/7/26) - Cristian Hernandez (SS, trade from Cubs, 1/7/26) - Edgardo De Leon (INF, trade from Cubs, 1/7/26) - Kade Bragg (LHP, trade from Twins, 1/2/26) - Esteury Ruiz (OF, trade from Dodgers, 12/29/25) - Pete Fairbanks (RP, free agent signing, 1 yr/$13M, 12/24/25) - Christopher Morel (OF/3B, free agent signing, 12/12/25) - Tyler Zuber (RHP, free agent minor league contract, 11/28/25)
Key Player Losses (11/1/2025 - 1/17/2026)	- Ryan Weathers (LHP, traded to Yankees, 1/13/26) - Edward Cabrera (RHP, traded to Cubs, 1/7/26) - Eric Wagaman (1B, traded to Twins, 1/2/26) - Adriano Marrero (RHP, traded to Dodgers, 12/29/25)
Projected 2026 Wins	78 wins

The primary pros for betting the Over 73.5 wins on the Miami Marlins for the 2026 season center on their clear upward trajectory and strategic offseason enhancements. Coming off a solid 79-83 finish in 2025—their best record in recent years and a significant improvement that included a strong second half and flirtation with relevance—the team demonstrated growing competitiveness, particularly with young talent stepping up in areas like the infield, outfield, and pitching depth. I have confidence in the rotation's stability and competence as most projected starters (even depth options) are expected to post ERAs better than 4.50, supporting a reliable pitching foundation despite some trades.

Offseason moves further bolster the case: the Marlins added impactful pieces like closer Pete Fairbanks (a one-year, $13M signing for bullpen stability), outfielder Christopher Morel (power and versatility), promising young outfielders Owen Caissie (via trade from Cubs) and Esteury Ruiz (from Dodgers), and a haul of prospects/infielders/outfielders from deals involving Ryan Weathers (to Yankees) and Edward Cabrera (to Cubs). These acquisitions address offensive gaps (especially power and depth up the middle) while the losses were primarily of controllable pitchers traded for youth and future upside, aligning with a build-without-blocking-talent approach.

Projections and analyses suggest the Marlins could push toward or above .500 (around 78-82 wins), well clear of 73.5, especially if key youngsters like Kyle Stowers, Jakob Marsee, Otto Lopez, and others continue progressing or break out further. The line appears undervalued given their 2025 baseline and roster upgrades, making the over a value play with momentum on their side in a division where not every team is peaking.

WagerTalk TV

Last 20

Date

Sport

Pick

Result

Jan 22

CBA

First Quarter Shanxi Zhongyu Under +23.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

Win

Jan 22

CBA

First Quarter Xinjiang Under +25.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

Win

Jan 22

CBB

(807) UL - Monroe at (808) Marshall: Total Total Under 160.5 (-107)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 22

CBA

Tianjin -210
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 22

CBA

(301501) Zhejiang Chouzhou at (301502) Beijing: Total Total Over 171.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 22

CBA

First Quarter Tianjin Over +23.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 22

CBB

(306569) Vermont at (306570) UMass Lowell: Total Total Over 144.5 (-105)
(Analysis)

pending

Jan 22

CBB

(306571) Albany NY at (306572) Maine: Total Total Over 128.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

pending

Jan 21

BSB

(304527) Jalisco at (304528) Tomateros de Culiacan: Total Total Under 9.0 (-115)
(Analysis)

Win

Jan 21

CBB

Washington State -2.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 21

CBB

(741) Northern Iowa at (742) Illinois State: Total Total Over 131.5 (-105)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 21

CBB

(735) West Virginia at (736) Arizona State: Total Total Over 145.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 21

CBA

First Quarter Guangdong -2.5 (-115)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 20

CBB

(617) Oklahoma at (618) South Carolina: Total Total Over 149.5 (-115)
(Analysis)

Win

Jan 20

CBB

(655) Vanderbilt at (656) Arkansas: Total Total Under 173.0 (-110)
(Analysis)

Win

Jan 20

CBB

(657) Air Force at (658) Colorado State: Total Total Over 131.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

Win

Jan 20

CBA

(301547) Xinjiang at (301548) Jiangsu Dragons First Quarter Under +44.5 (-115)
(Analysis)

Win

Jan 20

CBA

First Quarter Nanjing Tongxi Under +23.5 (-120)
(Analysis)

Win

Jan 20

CBB

Loyola Chicago +11.5 (-106)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jan 20

CBA

Zhejiang Chouzhou -5.5 (-119)
(Analysis)

Loss

Consultant Bio

Don't look at streaks, look at seasons... #1 all sports profit at Wager Talk 3 of the last 5 years.

You won't see Brandon talking about how he did in 7 or 3 days, he talks about how he does in seasons. #1 at Wager Talk 3 of the last 5 years in profit. Brandon scouted Japanese baseball for the Pacific Rim Scouting Department of a Major League Baseball team for ten years and is based in Tokyo, Japan. Brandon is Wager Talk's #1 all-sports profit capper in 2021 (+256 units), 2022 (+127 units) and 2024 (+180 units). He now uses his mathematical probabilities and scouting analyses to handicap sports including Japanese baseball, Korean baseball, Asian basketball and MLB.

Brandon has lived in Japan since 1992 and is originally from Phoenix, Arizona. Brandon graduated from The University of Arizona with a BA degree in Japanese Studies in 1992.

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