Ronald Cabang

THE PLAY: Baltimore Ravens -16.0 (-110)

Gave this out to clients at -14, this is now up to as high as -16.5 at some books! This is why the long term subscription packages are well worth it, you get the plays as soon as I bet them myself. Sometimes we beat the closing number, sometimes we don't…but more often than not we are beating it. 

I am hitting over 60% of my plays and up over 44 units this NFL season and most importantly my bets are easy to follow with strong breakdowns and analysis. We are not betting an unsustainable amount of games either. Not ready for 30 days or a year? Try out ten days for the price of seven! Just click here!

Here is the type of analysis that clients receive for every sport, not just NFL…

This game sets up as a one-sided battle where the Baltimore Ravens have every advantage over the struggling New York Giants. The Ravens’ offense, led by Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, thrives on running the football, ranking 2nd in the NFL with 179.1 rushing yards per game. That spells trouble for the Giants, who are giving up 141.7 rushing yards per game and are now dealing with major injuries to key defensive players like Dexter Lawrence. Without their best run stoppers, the Giants won’t have an answer for Henry or Jackson, who will find plenty of room to run and extend drives.

On the other side, the Giants’ offense is a mess. Drew Lock or Tommy DeVito at quarterback won’t be able to take advantage of Baltimore’s weakness against the pass because New York’s offensive line is also banged up. Plus, Baltimore’s run defense is elite, allowing just 82.7 rushing yards per game (3rd best in the NFL), which means Tyrone Tracy Jr. will struggle to get anything going. The Giants already rank 32nd in scoring offense, putting up just 14.9 points per game, and it’s hard to see them finding success against a fired-up Ravens defense that’s had two weeks to prepare.

From a trend perspective, road favorites of more than two points off a loss as a home favorite are 55-22-4 ATS since the 2018 NFL season. If you include that the road favorite is off a bye week as well, that trend is undefeated since 2016! This trend backs the Ravens.

Baltimore is coming off a bye and a tough loss, which gives them extra motivation to dominate a weak opponent. With Jackson’s ability to exploit defenses and Henry running wild, Baltimore should build a big lead early and never look back. The Ravens -14 is the best bet here, as the Giants simply don’t have the firepower or defense to keep up.