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Andrew McInnis

Andrew McInnis

(911) Oakland Athletics at (912) San Diego Padres: Dylan Cease Strikeouts Thrown

Event:
(911) Oakland Athletics at (912) San Diego Padres: Dylan Cease Strikeouts Thrown
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 10, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-155
Play:
2% – Dylan Cease Strikeouts Thrown Under 8.5 (-155) J Estes (RHP), D Cease (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

I'm not a fan of the -155 price here, but I'm more than willing to work with it since we are getting 8.5 as the number. Several of the analytical sources I use have Cease listed at between 7/7.2 K's for this game. It seems that many pitchers have overinflated numbers vs Oakland A's due to their poor record, but it doesn't mean every batter strikes out, although it may seem that way on some days. Cease has only surpassed this number in ONE of his last FIVE starts and he's giving up roughly 6.6 K's per game over his last five starts. The Athletics have the second most strikeouts this year just after the Mariners, but I think this 8.5 number is too high and well worth an 'under' bet, especially if Cease continues to go just 6 innings per start. 

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