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Scott Rickenbach

Scott Rickenbach

(503) Dallas Mavericks at (504) Boston Celtics

Event:
(503) Dallas Mavericks at (504) Boston Celtics
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
June 9, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-115
Play:
5% – Dallas Mavericks +7.5 (-115)
Result:
Win
Analysis

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5* Rotation #503: NBA Sunday 5* Dallas Mavericks +7.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8 ET - It is hard to say which way this line will eventually go but I am getting my information out early on this one and grabbing some early 7.5 on this one. Though it is showing signs of an early move down to a 7 it also could go back up to an 8 and, either way, I am locking in early on the Mavericks. Everyone will be handing the NBA title to Boston after they crushed the Mavs in Game 1. However, the Mavericks have shown great resilience in bouncing back off losses and they are not done yet in this series just because they got their doors blown off in Game 1. Kyrie Irving will be much better in Game 2. Also, the Celtics outscored the Mavericks by 27 points from three point land as they made 16 threes compared to just 7 for Dallas. I don't expect a repeat of this. Additionally, the Mavs were down by 17 after one quarter and yet only were outscored by 1 point the rest of the way. I am not saying Dallas wins Game 2 outright but I am saying it will be a helluva lot closer and it would not surprise me if they did get the upset win. I am happy to grab the generous points here! Dallas has been great on the road in these playoffs as, prior to Thursday's loss, the Mavericks were 7-1 SU in their last 8 road games in this post-season! Overall the Mavericks entered this series having won 12 of last 16 games and only 1 of the 4 losses was by more than 5 points! In other words, if you had Dallas +6 or more in each of their last 16 games prior to this series with the Celtics, you would be 15-1 ATS! I love the line value here! Yes, Boston swept the Pacers but, by the way, that sweep was not an easy one. The games were often tight late and, that said, Indiana is not as strong nor were they as healthy as this Mavericks team. I know Boston has Porzingis back and he was great in Game 1 but Dallas will make adjustments for Game 2. Note that Boston saw 3 of the 4 games with Pacers decided by 5 or less points and I am looking for another tight finish here in which having the points could prove to be very valuable! Grab the line value with the underdog here. Note Indiana almost beat the Celtics in Boston in Game 1 but lost in OT and the Cavs did beat them here once and the Heat beat them here once as well in this post-season. Upset alert again here but we'll grab the points just in case! The final big key, in my eyes, is how strong the Mavs have been when coming off a loss. The Mavericks are 5-0 SU in this post-season when coming off a loss and all 5 wins were on the road! Look for this PERFECT P/O angle for the Mavs to make it 6-0 SU but, just in case, I am grabbing the value of the points as the Celtics could gut out a tight win by a bucket or two. 5* DALLAS +7.5

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