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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(917) Minnesota Twins at (918) New York Yankees

Event:
(917) Minnesota Twins at (918) New York Yankees
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 6, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – (917) Minnesota Twins at (918) New York Yankees Total Under 8.5 (-110) P Lopez (RHP), M Stroman (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

7:05 PM ET -- MLB 

917 Minnesota Twins 
918 New York Yankees

Play: UNDER 8.5 -110

List Pitchers: Lopez & Stroman      

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at 8 or better
3% play at 7.5
2% play at 7

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

The UNDER is 19-5-1 this season when the Yankees face an opponent that is averaging 3 or fewer walks per game.

Since 5/8/2017, the UNDER is 25-6 when Marcus Stroman starts in a home night game with the total set at less than 9.

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