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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(911) Baltimore Orioles at (912) Toronto Blue Jays

Event:
(911) Baltimore Orioles at (912) Toronto Blue Jays
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 6, 2024 1PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
101
Play:
3% – Baltimore Orioles +101 C Povich (LHP), Y Kikuchi (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

1:07 PM ET -- MLB 

911 Baltimore Orioles 
912 Toronto Blue Jays

Play: 911 BALTIMORE +101

List Pitchers: Povich & Kikuchi            

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at -110 or better
2% play at -111 to -115

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Baltimore is 11-0 this season following a game in which they scored and allowed 3 or fewer runs.

Baltimore is 13-2 in the 2023-2024 seasons when playing on the road after scoring 2 or fewer runs, as long as they're not a favorite of more than -140.

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